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IPBL International

17.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

17.07.2026 11:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Samara - Kazan

International Basketball

Samara

99 : 75

Finished

Kazan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samara - Kazan July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 88.0%

2 12.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.07.2026 11:00 UTC

Match center

Samara - Kazan

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.70 Fonbet · line only

1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 164.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Over 165.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.76 56.8%
	1.68 59.5%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.25 44.4%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.87 53.5%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.07 48.3%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.76 56.8%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.13 47.0%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.62 61.7%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 164.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 165.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 166.5	2.07 48.3%
Over 169.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 170.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 171.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 172.5	2.07 48.3%
Over 173.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 174.5	2.70 37.0%
Over 175.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 176.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 177.5	2.03 49.3%
Over 178.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 179.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 180.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 181.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 182.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 183.5	2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.05 95.2%
	7.70 13.0%

Match center

Samara

W W L W W

17.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Samara 86:81 Krasnodar

15.07 13:00 UTC IPBL

Samara 107:91 Tyumen

15.07 11:00 UTC IPBL

Samara 69:76 Kazan

15.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Samara 96:89 Krasnodar

13.07 13:00 UTC IPBL

Samara 99:80 Tyumen

4 Wins

1 Losses

91.4 Scored

83.4 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Kazan

L W W W W

17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Kazan 84:91 Tyumen

15.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Kazan 105:92 Krasnodar

15.07 11:00 UTC IPBL

Kazan 76:69 Samara

15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Kazan 93:79 Tyumen

13.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Kazan 107:88 Krasnodar

4 Wins

1 Losses

93.0 Scored

83.8 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySamara - Kazan

Samara

3 matches total

Kazan

Samara: 2 (66.7%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Kazan: 1 (33.3%)

Biggest win Samara 101:85 (13.07 11:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 186 goals (101:85, 13.07 11:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 11:00 UTC IPBL

Samara

69:76

Kazan

13.07 11:00 UTC IPBL

Samara

101:85

Kazan

09.07 11:00 UTC IPBL

Samara

90:77

Kazan