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IPBL
IPBL International
20.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Samara - Kazan

International Basketball
Samara
Samara
107 : 76
Finished
Kazan
Kazan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samara - Kazan July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kazan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 10.9%
2 89.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Samara - Kazan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 65.2% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.242 / LogLoss 0.428
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.1% fact: home hit / ROI 4.0% / Brier 0.386 / LogLoss 0.579
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 173.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Over 174.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
2.35 42.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.58 63.3%
1.93 51.8%
1.94 51.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6%
2.07 48.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%
2.13 47.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 173.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 174.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 175.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 176.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 177.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 178.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 179.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 180.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 181.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 182.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 183.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 184.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 185.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 186.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 187.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 188.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 189.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 190.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
8.50 11.8%
1.04 96.2%
Match center
Samara
L W W W W
20.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 87:96 Krasnodar
17.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 105:98 Tyumen
17.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 99:75 Kazan
17.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 86:81 Krasnodar
15.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 107:91 Tyumen
4 Wins
1 Losses
96.8 Scored
88.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Kazan
W L L L W
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 109:94 Tyumen
17.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 80:87 Krasnodar
17.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 75:99 SamaraSamara
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 84:91 Tyumen
15.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 105:92 Krasnodar
2 Wins
3 Losses
90.6 Scored
92.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamara - Kazan

Samara
3 matches total
Kazan
Samara: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kazan: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Samara 99:75 (17.07 11:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 186 goals (101:85, 13.07 11:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
99:75
Kazan
15.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
69:76
Kazan
13.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
101:85
Kazan