PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
IPBL
IPBL International
22.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
22.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Samara - Kazan

International Basketball
Samara
Samara
79 : 72
Finished
Kazan
Kazan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samara - Kazan July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 22.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Samara - Kazan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 64.1% fact: home hit / ROI 87.0% / Brier 0.258 / LogLoss 0.444
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.6% fact: home hit / ROI 87.0% / Brier 0.393 / LogLoss 0.586
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 147.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 148.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.35 42.6%
2.10 47.6%
2.20 45.5%
1.94 51.6%
1.75 57.1%
2.50 40.0%
2.15 46.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.48 67.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.90 52.6%
2.05 48.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 147.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 148.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 149.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 150.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 151.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 152.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 153.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 154.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 155.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 156.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 157.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 158.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 159.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 160.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 161.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 162.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 163.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 164.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
8.50 11.8%
Match center
Samara
W W W L W
22.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 97:84 Krasnodar
20.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 105:88 Tyumen
20.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 107:76 Kazan
20.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 87:96 Krasnodar
17.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 105:98 Tyumen
4 Wins
1 Losses
100.2 Scored
88.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Kazan
W L L W L
22.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 101:81 Tyumen
20.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 95:115 Krasnodar
20.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 76:107 SamaraSamara
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 109:94 Tyumen
17.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 80:87 Krasnodar
2 Wins
3 Losses
92.2 Scored
96.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamara - Kazan

Samara
3 matches total
Kazan
Samara: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kazan: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Samara 107:76 (20.07 11:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 183 goals (107:76, 20.07 11:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
107:76
Kazan
17.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
99:75
Kazan
15.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
69:76
Kazan