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IPBL
IPBL International
27.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Samara - Kazan

International Basketball
Samara
Samara
71 : 77
Finished
Kazan
Kazan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samara - Kazan July 27, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.27 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 72.8%
2 27.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Samara - Kazan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 149.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 150.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.20 45.5%
2.13 47.0%
2.10 47.6%
2.35 42.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.20 45.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%
2.13 47.0%
1.80 55.6%
2.25 44.4%
1.80 55.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.63 61.4%
1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 149.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 150.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 151.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 152.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 153.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 154.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 155.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 156.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 157.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 158.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 159.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 160.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 161.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 162.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 163.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 164.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 165.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 166.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.27 78.7%
3.40 29.4%
Match center
Samara
W W W W L
27.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 77:67 Krasnodar
24.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 90:76 Tyumen
24.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 92:86 Kazan
24.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 114:79 Krasnodar
22.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 88:100 Tyumen
4 Wins
1 Losses
92.2 Scored
81.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Kazan
W W L L W
27.07 10:01 UTC IPBL
Kazan 93:77 Tyumen
24.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 111:101 Krasnodar
24.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 86:92 SamaraSamara
24.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 76:84 Tyumen
22.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 64:58 Krasnodar
3 Wins
2 Losses
86.0 Scored
82.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamara - Kazan

Samara
3 matches total
Kazan
Samara: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kazan: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Samara 107:76 (20.07 11:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 183 goals (107:76, 20.07 11:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

24.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
92:86
Kazan
22.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
79:72
Kazan
20.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
107:76
Kazan