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IPBL
IPBL International
31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Samara - Tyumen

International Basketball
Samara
Samara
93 : 72
Finished
Tyumen
Tyumen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samara - Tyumen July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 88.0%
2 12.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 88.0% @ 1.05 / 2 12.0% @ 7.70
Match center

Samara - Tyumen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 165.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 166.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.07 48.3%
2.23 44.8%
2.05 48.8%
2.23 44.8%
2.05 48.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.77 56.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.45 69.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 165.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 166.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 167.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 168.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 169.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 170.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 171.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 172.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 173.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 174.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 175.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 176.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 177.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 178.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 179.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 180.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 181.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 182.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
7.70 13.0%
Match center
Samara
W L W W L
31.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 87:81 Kazan
31.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 98:105 Krasnodar
29.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 94:80 Tyumen
29.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 114:78 Kazan
29.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Samara 94:102 Krasnodar
3 Wins
2 Losses
97.4 Scored
89.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Tyumen
W L L L W
31.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 86:85 Kazan
29.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 80:94 SamaraSamara
29.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 90:99 Krasnodar
29.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 89:93 Kazan
27.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 86:66 SamaraSamara
2 Wins
3 Losses
86.2 Scored
87.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamara - Tyumen

Samara
3 matches total
Tyumen
Samara: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tyumen: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Tyumen 66:86 (27.07 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 174 goals (94:80, 29.07 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

29.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
94:80
Tyumen
27.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
66:86
Tyumen
24.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Samara
90:76
Tyumen