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IPBL
IPBL International
20.07.2026 12:10 UTC Match prediction
20.07.2026 12:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Saransk (w) - Kirovgrad (w)

International Basketball
Saransk (w)
Saransk (w)
104 : 86
Finished
Kirovgrad (w)
Kirovgrad (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saransk (w) - Kirovgrad (w) July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saransk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 12:10 UTC
Match center

Saransk (w) - Kirovgrad (w)

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 51.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.531 / LogLoss 0.724
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.512 / LogLoss 0.706
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 183.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 184.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.30 43.5%
2.07 48.3%
2.07 48.3%
1.90 52.6%
2.52 39.7%
2.20 45.5%
2.13 47.0%
1.80 55.6%
1.75 57.1%
2.03 49.3%
1.77 56.5%
2.07 48.3%
1.93 51.8%
1.80 55.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.68 59.5%
1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 183.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 184.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 185.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 186.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 187.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 188.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 189.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 190.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 191.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 192.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 193.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 194.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 195.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 196.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 197.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 198.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 199.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 200.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
8.50 11.8%
Match center
Saransk (w)
L
15.07 13:10 UTC IPBL
Saransk (w) 106:121 Angarsk (zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
106.0 Scored
121.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage