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Serov — Smolensk

Basketball 25.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Favourite Serov best odds 1.13

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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IPBL
IPBL International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Serov - Smolensk

International Basketball
Serov
Serov
92 : 82
Finished
Smolensk
Smolensk

Serov face Smolensk on July 25, 2026 in the IPBL, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Serov 3-0-2, Smolensk 5-0-0. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Serov - Smolensk July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Serov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.13 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 81.9%
2 18.1%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 81.9% @ 1.13 / 2 18.1% @ 5.10
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Match center

Serov - Smolensk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 172.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.87 53.5%
2.13 47.0%
1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6%
2.23 44.8%
1.87 53.5%
2.55 39.2%
1.77 56.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.87 53.5%
2.15 46.5%
1.87 53.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
1.65 60.6%
2.03 49.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 171.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 172.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 173.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 174.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 175.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 176.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 177.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 178.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 179.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 180.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 181.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 182.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 183.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 184.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 185.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 186.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 187.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 189.5 1.63 61.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.13 88.5%
5.10 19.6%
Match center
Serov
W L L W W
18.07 19:00 UTC IPBL
Serov 86:74 Salavat
18.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Serov 105:109 Smolensk
16.07 19:00 UTC IPBL
Serov 97:108 Salavat
16.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Serov 98:92 Smolensk
16.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Serov 94:86 Ryazan
3 Wins
2 Losses
96.0 Scored
93.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Smolensk
W W W W W
25.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Smolensk 89:86 Salavat
18.07 20:00 UTC IPBL
Smolensk 90:79 Ryazan
18.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Smolensk 109:105 Serov
18.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Smolensk 107:97 Salavat
16.07 20:00 UTC IPBL
Smolensk 108:97 Ryazan
5 Wins
0 Losses
100.6 Scored
92.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Serov - Smolensk

Serov
3 matches total
Smolensk
Serov: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Smolensk: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Serov 98:92 (16.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 214 goals (105:109, 18.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

18.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Serov
105:109
Smolensk
16.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Serov
98:92
Smolensk
14.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Serov
86:92
Smolensk

Frequently asked questions

When does Serov vs Smolensk start?

July 25, 2026.