IPBL
IPBL International
09.07.2026 06:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

International Basketball
Severodvinsk (w)
Severodvinsk (w)
64 : 66
Finished
Orenburg (w)
Orenburg (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w) 9 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Severodvinsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 65.0%
2 35.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 06:00 MSK
Match center

Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 133.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 134.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -0.5 2.10 47.6%
П1 -1.5 1.62 61.7%
П1 -2.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +0.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +1.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +2.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +3.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 +4.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +5.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -0.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -1.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -2.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -3.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -4.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -5.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -6.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -7.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -8.5 1.62 61.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 133.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 134.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 135.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 136.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 137.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 138.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 139.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 140.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 141.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 142.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 143.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 144.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 145.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 149.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 150.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 151.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 152.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 153.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.43 69.9%
П2 2.65 37.7%