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IPBL
IPBL International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
23.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

International Basketball
Severodvinsk (w)
Severodvinsk (w)
59 : 70
Finished
Orenburg (w)
Orenburg (w)

Severodvinsk (w) go head-to-head with Orenburg (w) on July 23, 2026 in the IPBL, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Severodvinsk (w) 2-0-3, Orenburg (w) 1-0-4. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w) July 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Orenburg (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 12.7%
2 87.3%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Market 1 12.7% @ 7.30 / 2 87.3% @ 1.06
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
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Match center

Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 59.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.704 / LogLoss 0.900
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 53.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.578 / LogLoss 0.771
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 124.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 125.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.67 59.9%
1.57 63.7%
1.90 52.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.83 54.6%
2.23 44.8%
1.68 59.5%
1.55 64.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.55 64.5%
1.43 69.9%
1.57 63.7%
1.76 56.8%
1.60 62.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.68 59.5%
1.76 56.8%
1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 124.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 125.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 126.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 127.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 128.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 129.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 130.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 131.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 132.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 133.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 134.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 135.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 136.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 137.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 138.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 139.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 140.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 142.5 1.62 61.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.30 13.7%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Severodvinsk (w)
L L L W W
19.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 93:100 Vologda (zh)
19.07 05:05 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 85:93 Kursk (zh)
19.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 96:97 Orenburg (zh)Orenburg (zh)
16.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 94:87 Vologda (zh)
16.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 96:72 Orenburg (zh)Orenburg (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
92.8 Scored
89.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Orenburg (w)
L L W L L
19.07 07:05 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 74:80 Kursk (zh)
19.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 71:87 Vologda (zh)
19.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 97:96 Severodvinsk (zh)
16.07 07:05 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 76:85 Kursk (zh)
16.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 78:87 Vologda (zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
79.2 Scored
87.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySeverodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

Severodvinsk (w)
3 matches total
Orenburg (w)
Severodvinsk (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Orenburg (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Severodvinsk (zh) 96:72 (16.07 03:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 193 goals (96:97, 19.07 03:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

19.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (zh)
96:97
Orenburg (zh)
16.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (zh)
96:72
Orenburg (zh)
12.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (zh)
61:73
Orenburg (zh)