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IPBL International

30.07.2026 03:00 UTC Match prediction

30.07.2026 03:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

International Basketball

Severodvinsk (w)

96 : 67

Finished

Orenburg (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w) July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Severodvinsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / 2 5.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 84.1%

2 15.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 03:00 UTC

Match center

Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.80 Fonbet · line only

1 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 159.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Over 160.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.10 47.6%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.67 59.9%
	1.57 63.7%
	1.60 62.5%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.07 48.3%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.57 63.7%
	1.83 54.6%
	2.52 39.7%
	2.20 45.5%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.94 51.6%
	1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 159.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 160.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 161.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 162.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 163.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 164.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 165.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 166.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 168.5	2.40 41.7%
Over 169.5	2.80 35.7%
Over 170.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 171.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 172.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 173.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 174.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 175.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 176.5	1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.10 90.9%
	5.80 17.2%

Match center

Severodvinsk (w)

W W L W W

26.07 08:00 UTC IPBL

Severodvinsk (w) 89:69 Vologda (zh)

26.07 05:05 UTC IPBL

Severodvinsk (w) 90:75 Kursk (zh)

26.07 03:00 UTC IPBL

Severodvinsk (w) 75:101 Orenburg (zh)

23.07 08:00 UTC IPBL

Severodvinsk (w) 96:82 Vologda (zh)

23.07 05:05 UTC IPBL

Severodvinsk (w) 93:77 Kursk (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

88.6 Scored

80.8 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Orenburg (w)

W W W L W

26.07 07:05 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 102:96 Kursk (zh)

26.07 06:00 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 102:78 Vologda (zh)

26.07 03:00 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 101:75 Severodvinsk (zh)

23.07 07:05 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 81:96 Kursk (zh)

23.07 06:00 UTC IPBL

Orenburg (w) 104:99 Vologda (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

98.0 Scored

88.8 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySeverodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

Severodvinsk (w)

3 matches total

Orenburg (w)

Severodvinsk (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Orenburg (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Orenburg (zh) 75:101 (26.07 03:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 193 goals (96:97, 19.07 03:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

26.07 03:00 UTC IPBL

Severodvinsk (zh)

75:101

Orenburg (zh)

23.07 03:00 UTC IPBL

Severodvinsk (zh)

59:70

Orenburg (zh)

19.07 03:00 UTC IPBL

Severodvinsk (zh)

96:97

Orenburg (zh)