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Severodvinsk (w) — Orenburg (w)

Basketball 21.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Favourite Orenburg (w) best odds 1.27

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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IPBL
IPBL International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

International Basketball
Severodvinsk (w)
Severodvinsk (w)
97 : 101
Finished
Orenburg (w)
Orenburg (w)

Severodvinsk (w) take on Orenburg (w) on August 21, 2026 in the IPBL, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Severodvinsk (w) 5-0-0, Orenburg (w) 1-0-4. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w) August 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Orenburg (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.40 / 2 1.27

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 27.2%
2 72.8%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Market 1 27.2% @ 3.40 / 2 72.8% @ 1.27
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Match center

Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1 3.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 168.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 169.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.67 59.9%
1.57 63.7%
1.93 51.8%
2.20 45.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.67 59.9%
1.68 59.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.68 59.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 168.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 169.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 170.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 171.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 172.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 173.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 174.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 175.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 176.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 177.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 178.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 179.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 180.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 181.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 182.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 184.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 185.5 1.62 61.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.40 29.4%
1.27 78.7%
Match center
Severodvinsk (w)
W W W W W
18.08 05:05 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 96:85 Kursk (zh)
18.08 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 90:81 Orenburg (zh)Orenburg (zh)
14.08 08:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 83:73 Vologda (zh)
14.08 05:05 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 75:63 Kursk (zh)
14.08 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (w) 93:79 Orenburg (zh)Orenburg (zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
87.4 Scored
76.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Orenburg (w)
L L L L W
18.08 07:05 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 74:86 Kursk (zh)
18.08 06:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 66:75 Vologda (zh)
18.08 03:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 81:90 Severodvinsk (zh)
14.08 07:05 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 89:97 Kursk (zh)
14.08 06:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 92:79 Vologda (zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
80.4 Scored
85.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Severodvinsk (w) - Orenburg (w)

Severodvinsk (w)
3 matches total
Orenburg (w)
Severodvinsk (w): 0 (0%)
Orenburg (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Severodvinsk (zh) 93:79 (14.08 03:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 172 points (93:79, 14.08 03:00 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

18.08 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (zh)
90:81
Orenburg (zh)
14.08 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (zh)
93:79
Orenburg (zh)
11.08 03:00 UTC IPBL
Severodvinsk (zh)
76:75
Orenburg (zh)

Frequently asked questions

When does Severodvinsk (w) vs Orenburg (w) start?

August 21, 2026.