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IPBL
IPBL International
08.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) - Penza (w)

International Basketball
Stary Oskol (w)
Stary Oskol (w)
72 : 78
Finished
Penza (w)
Penza (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stary Oskol (w) - Penza (w) July 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penza (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.70 / 2 1.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 19.7%
2 80.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Match center

Stary Oskol (w) - Penza (w)

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 150.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 151.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
2.20 45.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.93 51.8%
2.03 49.3%
2.15 46.5%
1.93 51.8%
2.05 48.8%
2.20 45.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.60 62.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.35 42.6%
2.13 47.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 150.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 151.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 152.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 153.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 154.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 155.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 156.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 157.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 158.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 159.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 160.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 162.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 163.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 164.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 165.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 166.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 167.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 168.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.70 21.3%
1.15 87.0%
Match center
Stary Oskol (w)
W
08.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 66:59 Kostroma (zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
66.0 Scored
59.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Penza (w)
W
08.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 105:83 Staryy Oskol (zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
105.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage