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IPBL
IPBL International
18.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) - Penza (w)

International Basketball
Stary Oskol (w)
Stary Oskol (w)
88 : 71
Finished
Penza (w)
Penza (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stary Oskol (w) - Penza (w) July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Stary Oskol (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 76.9%
2 23.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Match center

Stary Oskol (w) - Penza (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 160.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 161.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.05 48.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.67 59.9%
2.35 42.6%
2.07 48.3%
2.55 39.2%
2.20 45.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.72 58.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.23 44.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.80 55.6%
1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 160.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 161.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 162.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 163.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 164.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 165.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 166.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 168.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 169.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 170.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 171.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 172.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 173.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 174.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 175.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 176.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 177.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.20 83.3%
4.00 25.0%
Match center
Stary Oskol (w)
W W W W W
18.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 112:100 Kostroma (zh)
15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 91:85 Penza (zh)
15.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 87:78 Kostroma (zh)
11.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 98:85 Penza (zh)
11.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 91:78 Kostroma (zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
95.8 Scored
85.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Penza (w)
W L W L W
18.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:73 Staryy Oskol (zh)
15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:91 Ivanovo (zh)
15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 91:79 Staryy Oskol (zh)
11.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:98 Ivanovo (zh)
11.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 87:68 Staryy Oskol (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
86.6 Scored
81.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStary Oskol (w) - Penza (w)

Stary Oskol (w)
3 matches total
Penza (w)
Stary Oskol (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Penza (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Ivanovo (zh) 98:85 (11.07 17:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 183 goals (98:85, 11.07 17:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (zh)
91:85
Penza (zh)
11.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (zh)
98:85
Penza (zh)
08.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (zh)
72:78
Penza (zh)