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IPBL International

22.07.2026 17:05 UTC Match prediction

22.07.2026 17:05 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) - Penza (w)

International Basketball

Stary Oskol (w)

87 : 90

Finished

Penza (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stary Oskol (w) - Penza (w) July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penza (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.80 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 13.6%

2 86.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.07.2026 17:05 UTC

Match center

Stary Oskol (w) - Penza (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 66.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.889 / LogLoss 1.099

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.642 / LogLoss 0.836

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.07 Fonbet · line only

1 6.80 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 164.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Over 165.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.07 48.3%
	2.45 40.8%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.67 59.9%
	1.83 54.6%
	2.30 43.5%
	1.67 59.9%
	1.48 67.6%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.57 63.7%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.57 63.7%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.55 64.5%
	2.03 49.3%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 164.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 165.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 166.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 167.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 168.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 169.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 170.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 171.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 172.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 173.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 174.5	1.43 69.9%
Over 175.5	1.43 69.9%
Over 176.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 177.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 178.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 179.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 180.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 181.5	2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	6.80 14.7%
	1.07 93.5%

Match center

Stary Oskol (w)

W W W W W

22.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 89:82 Kostroma (zh)

18.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 88:71 Penza (zh)

18.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 112:100 Kostroma (zh)

15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 91:85 Penza (zh)

15.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 87:78 Kostroma (zh)

5 Wins

0 Losses

93.4 Scored

83.2 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Penza (w)

W L W L W

22.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 85:74 Staryy Oskol (zh)

18.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 71:88 Ivanovo (zh)

18.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 85:73 Staryy Oskol (zh)

15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 85:91 Ivanovo (zh)

15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 91:79 Staryy Oskol (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

83.4 Scored

81.0 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyStary Oskol (w) - Penza (w)

Stary Oskol (w)

3 matches total

Penza (w)

Stary Oskol (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Penza (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Ivanovo (zh) 88:71 (18.07 17:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 183 goals (98:85, 11.07 17:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

18.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Ivanovo (zh)

88:71

Penza (zh)

15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Ivanovo (zh)

91:85

Penza (zh)

11.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Ivanovo (zh)

98:85

Penza (zh)