Match center
Start
10.07.2026 23:00 UTC
10.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished
IPBL
Surgut - Kurgan
107
:
119
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Surgut - Kurgan 10 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Kurgan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
1
12.7%
2
87.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Surgut - Kurgan
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.06
Fonbet · line only
1
7.30
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.57
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.57
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
2.25
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 208.5
1.67
Fonbet · line only
Over 209.5
1.67
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| П2 +12.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 +13.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| П2 +14.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +15.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 +16.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| П2 +17.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +18.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +19.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| П2 +20.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П2 -0.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 208.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТБ 209.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТБ 210.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 211.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 212.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 213.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТБ 214.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| ТБ 215.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| ТБ 216.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 217.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТБ 218.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 219.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 220.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 221.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 222.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| ТБ 223.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 224.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| ТБ 225.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 7.30 13.7% |
| П2 | 1.06 94.3% |
Match center
Surgut
W
Surgut
109:102
Adler
1
Wins
0
Losses
109.0
Scored
102.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Kurgan
W
Kurgan
118:87
Yakutsk
1
Wins
0
Losses
118.0
Scored
87.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySurgut - Kurgan
Surgut
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals