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IPBL
IPBL International
10.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Surgut - Surgut

International Basketball
Surgut
Surgut
107 : 119
Finished
Surgut
Surgut

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Surgut - Surgut July 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Surgut. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 12.7%
2 87.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 12.7% @ 7.30 / 2 87.3% @ 1.06
Match center

Surgut - Surgut

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 208.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 209.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.57 63.7%
1.65 60.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.13 47.0%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.68 59.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.57 63.7%
1.65 60.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 208.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 209.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 210.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 211.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 212.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 213.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 214.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 215.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 216.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 217.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 218.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 219.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 220.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 221.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 222.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 223.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 224.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 225.5 1.68 59.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.30 13.7%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Surgut
W
10.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 109:102 Adler
1 Wins
0 Losses
109.0 Scored
102.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Surgut
W
10.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 118:87 Yakutsk
1 Wins
0 Losses
118.0 Scored
87.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySurgut - Surgut

Surgut
0 matches total
Surgut
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history