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IPBL
IPBL International
17.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Surgut - Surgut

International Basketball
Surgut
Surgut
133 : 106
Finished
Surgut
Surgut

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Surgut - Surgut July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Surgut. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.80 / 2 1.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 15.9%
2 84.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 15.9% @ 5.80 / 2 84.1% @ 1.10
Match center

Surgut - Surgut

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 194.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only
Over 195.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.83 54.6%
2.13 47.0%
2.00 50.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.68 59.5%
2.07 48.3%
1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%
2.40 41.7%
1.68 59.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.55 64.5%
2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 194.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 195.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 196.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 197.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 198.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 199.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 200.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 201.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 202.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 203.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 204.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 205.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 206.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 207.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 208.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 209.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 210.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 211.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.80 17.2%
1.10 90.9%
Match center
Surgut
L L L W
17.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 111:129 Adler
12.07 01:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 100:101 Yakutsk
10.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 107:119 Kurgan
10.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 109:102 Adler
1 Wins
3 Losses
106.8 Scored
112.8 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Surgut
L W W
17.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 113:130 Yakutsk
10.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 119:107
10.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 118:87 Yakutsk
2 Wins
1 Losses
116.7 Scored
108.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySurgut - Surgut

Surgut
1 matches total
Surgut
Surgut: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Surgut: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Kurgan 107:119 (10.07 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 226 goals (107:119, 10.07 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

10.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut
107:119
Kurgan