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IPBL
IPBL International
24.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Surgut - Surgut

International Basketball
Surgut
Surgut
107 : 105
Finished
Surgut
Surgut

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Surgut - Surgut July 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Surgut. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 12.7%
2 87.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 12.7% @ 7.30 / 2 87.3% @ 1.06
Match center

Surgut - Surgut

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 207.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Over 208.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.62 61.7%
1.72 58.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.75 57.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.65 60.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.68 59.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.77 56.5%
1.68 59.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 207.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 208.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 209.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 210.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 211.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 212.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 213.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 214.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 215.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 216.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 217.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 218.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 219.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 220.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 221.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 222.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 223.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 224.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.30 13.7%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Surgut
W W W L L
24.07 22:06 UTC IPBL
Surgut 112:102 Adler
19.07 01:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 98:95 Yakutsk
17.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 133:106 Kurgan
17.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 111:129 Adler
12.07 01:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 100:101 Yakutsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
110.8 Scored
106.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Surgut
W L L W W
24.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 99:93 Yakutsk
17.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 106:133
17.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 113:130 Yakutsk
10.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 119:107
10.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut 118:87 Yakutsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
111.0 Scored
110.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySurgut - Surgut

Surgut
2 matches total
Surgut
Surgut: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Surgut: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Surgut 133:106 (17.07 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 239 goals (133:106, 17.07 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut
133:106
Kurgan
10.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Surgut
107:119
Kurgan