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IPBL
IPBL International
23.07.2026 11:05 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Toliatti (w) - Berezniki (w)

International Basketball
Toliatti (w)
Toliatti (w)
92 : 82
Finished
Berezniki (w)
Berezniki (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toliatti (w) - Berezniki (w) July 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Toliatti (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / 2 4.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 79.5%
2 20.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.07.2026 11:05 UTC
Match center

Toliatti (w) - Berezniki (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 175.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 176.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.07 48.3%
1.75 57.1%
2.13 47.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.87 53.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.75 57.1%
1.70 58.8%
1.60 62.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.57 63.7%
2.40 41.7%
2.10 47.6%
1.87 53.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 175.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 176.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 177.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 178.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 179.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 180.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 181.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 182.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 183.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 184.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 185.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 186.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 187.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 188.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 189.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 190.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 191.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 175.5 2.13 47.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.16 86.2%
4.50 22.2%
Match center
Toliatti (w)
W L W L W
23.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 88:82 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
19.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 93:99 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
19.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 77:73 Berezniki (zh)
19.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 81:87 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
16.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 100:90 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
87.8 Scored
86.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Berezniki (w)
W W L L W
23.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Berezniki (w) 99:94 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
19.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Berezniki (w) 90:75 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
19.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Berezniki (w) 73:77 Tolyatti (zh)
19.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Berezniki (w) 82:86 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
16.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Berezniki (w) 110:87 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
90.8 Scored
83.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToliatti (w) - Berezniki (w)

Toliatti (w)
3 matches total
Berezniki (w)
Toliatti (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Berezniki (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Tolyatti (zh) 107:85 (16.07 11:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 192 goals (107:85, 16.07 11:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

19.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
77:73
Berezniki (zh)
16.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
107:85
Berezniki (zh)
12.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
86:70
Berezniki (zh)