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IPBL International

23.07.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

23.07.2026 09:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

International Basketball

Toliatti (w)

88 : 82

Finished

Ekaterinburg (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w) July 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Toliatti (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 88.0%

2 12.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.07.2026 09:00 UTC

Match center

Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.70 Fonbet · line only

1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 159.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Over 160.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.83 54.6%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.58 63.3%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.75 57.1%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.45 40.8%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.35 42.6%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 159.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 160.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 161.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 162.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 163.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 164.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 165.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 166.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 167.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 168.5	1.43 69.9%
Over 169.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 170.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 171.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 172.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 173.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 174.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 175.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 176.5	2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.05 95.2%
	7.70 13.0%

Match center

Toliatti (w)

L W L W W

19.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Toliatti (w) 93:99 Khimki (zh)

19.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Toliatti (w) 77:73 Berezniki (zh)

19.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Toliatti (w) 81:87 Ekaterinburg (zh)

16.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Toliatti (w) 100:90 Khimki (zh)

16.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Toliatti (w) 107:85 Berezniki (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

91.6 Scored

86.8 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Ekaterinburg (w)

L L W L W

19.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 75:90 Berezniki (zh)

19.07 12:00 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 99:102 Khimki (zh)

19.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 87:81 Tolyatti (zh)

16.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 87:110 Berezniki (zh)

16.07 12:00 UTC IPBL

Ekaterinburg (w) 91:88 Khimki (zh)

2 Wins

3 Losses

87.8 Scored

94.2 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyToliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

Toliatti (w)

3 matches total

Ekaterinburg (w)

Toliatti (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Ekaterinburg (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Ekaterinburg (zh) 79:89 (12.07 09:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 168 goals (81:87, 19.07 09:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

19.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Tolyatti (zh)

81:87

Ekaterinburg (zh)

16.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Tolyatti (zh)

71:76

Ekaterinburg (zh)

12.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Tolyatti (zh)

79:89

Ekaterinburg (zh)