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IPBL
IPBL International
26.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

International Basketball
Toliatti (w)
Toliatti (w)
88 : 84
Finished
Ekaterinburg (w)
Ekaterinburg (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w) July 26, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Toliatti (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / 2 6.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 86.4%
2 13.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Toliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 162.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 163.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
1.93 51.8%
2.13 47.0%
2.03 49.3%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
2.55 39.2%
2.20 45.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.70 58.8%
2.52 39.7%
2.10 47.6%
1.80 55.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 162.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 163.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 164.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 165.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 166.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 168.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 169.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 170.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 171.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 172.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 173.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 174.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 175.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 176.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 177.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 178.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 179.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.07 93.5%
6.80 14.7%
Match center
Toliatti (w)
W W W L W
23.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 96:87 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
23.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 92:82 Berezniki (zh)
23.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 88:82 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
19.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 93:99 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
19.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 77:73 Berezniki (zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
89.2 Scored
84.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Ekaterinburg (w)
W W L L L
23.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 89:85 Berezniki (zh)
23.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 100:99 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
23.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 82:88 Tolyatti (zh)
19.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 75:90 Berezniki (zh)
19.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Ekaterinburg (w) 99:102 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
89.0 Scored
92.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToliatti (w) - Ekaterinburg (w)

Toliatti (w)
3 matches total
Ekaterinburg (w)
Toliatti (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Ekaterinburg (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Tolyatti (zh) 88:82 (23.07 09:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 170 goals (88:82, 23.07 09:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

23.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
88:82
Ekaterinburg (zh)
19.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
81:87
Ekaterinburg (zh)
16.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
71:76
Ekaterinburg (zh)