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IPBL
IPBL International
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Toliatti (w) - Khimki (w)

International Basketball
Toliatti (w)
Toliatti (w)
92 : 78
Finished
Khimki (w)
Khimki (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toliatti (w) - Khimki (w) July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Toliatti (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 7.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 87.3%
2 12.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Toliatti (w) - Khimki (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 169.5 1.46 Fonbet · line only
Over 170.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.13 47.0%
2.35 42.6%
1.63 61.4%
1.52 65.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.75 57.1%
2.45 40.8%
1.93 51.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.40 41.7%
2.13 47.0%
2.23 44.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 169.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 170.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 171.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 172.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 173.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 174.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 175.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 176.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 177.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 178.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 179.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 180.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 181.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 182.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 183.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 184.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 185.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 186.5 2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.06 94.3%
7.30 13.7%
Match center
Toliatti (w)
W W W W W
30.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 103:97 Berezniki (zh)
30.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 90:74 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
26.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 101:99 Khimki (zh)Khimki (zh)
26.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 89:80 Berezniki (zh)
26.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Toliatti (w) 88:84 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
94.2 Scored
86.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Khimki (w)
W W L L L
30.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 90:78 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
30.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 99:92 Berezniki (zh)
26.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 99:101 Tolyatti (zh)
26.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 93:99 Ekaterinburg (zh)Ekaterinburg (zh)
26.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Khimki (w) 75:79 Berezniki (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
91.2 Scored
89.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToliatti (w) - Khimki (w)

Toliatti (w)
3 matches total
Khimki (w)
Toliatti (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Khimki (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Tolyatti (zh) 96:87 (23.07 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 200 goals (101:99, 26.07 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

26.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
101:99
Khimki (zh)
23.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
96:87
Khimki (zh)
19.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Tolyatti (zh)
93:99
Khimki (zh)