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IPBL
IPBL International
20.07.2026 15:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Ulan-Ude - Khabarovsk

International Basketball
Ulan-Ude
Ulan-Ude
105 : 108
Finished
Khabarovsk
Khabarovsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ulan-Ude - Khabarovsk July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ulan-Ude. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 83.2%
2 16.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 15:10 UTC
Match center

Ulan-Ude - Khabarovsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 58.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.688 / LogLoss 0.883
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 53.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.572 / LogLoss 0.765
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 184.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 185.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
2.13 47.0%
1.63 61.4%
1.46 68.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.63 61.4%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%
2.03 49.3%
1.65 60.6%
1.63 61.4%
1.76 56.8%
2.10 47.6%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 184.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 185.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 186.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 187.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 188.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 189.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 190.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 191.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 192.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 193.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 194.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 195.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 196.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 197.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 198.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 199.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 200.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 201.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.11 90.1%
5.50 18.2%
Match center
Ulan-Ude
W W W L L
17.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 92:76 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
17.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 102:93 Chita
15.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 92:88 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
15.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 101:112 Chita
13.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 76:81 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
92.6 Scored
90.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Khabarovsk
W L W W W
17.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 106:83 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
17.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 93:102 Ulan-Ude
15.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 107:93 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
15.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 112:101 Ulan-Ude
13.07 18:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 106:99
4 Wins
1 Losses
104.8 Scored
95.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUlan-Ude - Khabarovsk

Ulan-Ude
3 matches total
Khabarovsk
Ulan-Ude: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Khabarovsk: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Chita 101:112 (15.07 15:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 213 goals (101:112, 15.07 15:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude
102:93
Chita
15.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude
101:112
Chita
13.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude
103:101
Chita