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IPBL
IPBL International
22.07.2026 15:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Ulan-Ude - Khabarovsk

International Basketball
Ulan-Ude
Ulan-Ude
91 : 80
Finished
Khabarovsk
Khabarovsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ulan-Ude - Khabarovsk July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Khabarovsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 12.0%
2 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.07.2026 15:10 UTC
Match center

Ulan-Ude - Khabarovsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.9% fact: home hit / ROI 55.0% / Brier 0.371 / LogLoss 0.564
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 52.8% fact: home hit / ROI 55.0% / Brier 0.446 / LogLoss 0.639
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 114.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 115.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.76 56.8%
1.67 59.9%
1.62 61.7%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.63 61.4%
1.72 58.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.68 59.5%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 114.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 115.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 116.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 117.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 118.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 119.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 120.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 121.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 122.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 123.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 124.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 125.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 126.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 127.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 128.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 129.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 130.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 131.5 2.50 40.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.70 13.0%
1.05 95.2%
Match center
Ulan-Ude
L W W W L
20.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 105:108 Chita
17.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 92:76 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
17.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 102:93 Chita
15.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 92:88 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
15.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude 101:112 Chita
3 Wins
2 Losses
98.4 Scored
95.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Khabarovsk
L W W L W
20.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 111:121 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
20.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 108:105 Ulan-Ude
17.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 106:83 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
17.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 93:102 Ulan-Ude
15.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 107:93 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
105.0 Scored
100.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUlan-Ude - Khabarovsk

Ulan-Ude
3 matches total
Khabarovsk
Ulan-Ude: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Khabarovsk: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Chita 101:112 (15.07 15:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 213 goals (105:108, 20.07 15:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude
105:108
Chita
17.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude
102:93
Chita
15.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Ulan-Ude
101:112
Chita