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IPBL
IPBL International
16.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

International Basketball
Volgograd
Volgograd
108 : 109
Finished
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod July 16, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 12.0%
2 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 202.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 203.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.10 47.6%
1.50 66.7%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.76 56.8%
1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.62 61.7%
1.76 56.8%
1.63 61.4%
1.68 59.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 202.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 203.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 204.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 205.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 206.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 207.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 208.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 209.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 210.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 211.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 212.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 213.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 214.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 215.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 216.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 217.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 218.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 219.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.70 13.0%
1.05 95.2%
Match center
Volgograd
L W W L L
16.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 102:107 Rostov-na-Donu
15.07 01:05 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 123:119 Krasnoyarsk
14.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 125:123 Nizhniy Novgorod
14.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 115:122 Rostov-na-Donu
13.07 01:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd 108:112 Krasnoyarsk
2 Wins
3 Losses
114.6 Scored
116.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Nizhny Novgorod
W W L L L
16.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 114:105 Krasnoyarsk
15.07 02:10 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 119:115 Rostov-na-Donu
14.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 123:125 Volgograd
14.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 107:115 Krasnoyarsk
13.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 103:117 Rostov-na-Donu
2 Wins
3 Losses
113.2 Scored
115.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVolgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

Volgograd
3 matches total
Nizhny Novgorod
Volgograd: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nizhny Novgorod: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Nizhniy Novgorod 87:102 (12.07 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 248 goals (125:123, 14.07 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

14.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd
125:123
Nizhniy Novgorod
12.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd
87:102
Nizhniy Novgorod
09.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Volgograd
107:108
Nizhniy Novgorod