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IPBL International

21.07.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction

21.07.2026 23:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

International Basketball

Volgograd

117 : 96

Finished

Nizhny Novgorod

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod July 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Volgograd. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.13 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 81.9%

2 18.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.07.2026 23:00 UTC

Match center

Volgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 63.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.799 / LogLoss 1.000

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 55.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.611 / LogLoss 0.805

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.10 Fonbet · line only

1 1.13 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 207.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Over 208.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.15 46.5%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.60 62.5%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.20 45.5%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.62 61.7%
	1.87 53.5%
	2.25 44.4%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 207.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 208.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 209.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 210.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 211.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 212.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 213.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 214.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 215.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 216.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 217.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 218.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 219.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 220.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 221.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 222.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 223.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 224.5	1.72 58.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.13 88.5%
	5.10 19.6%

Match center

Volgograd

W L L L W

21.07 22:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 105:99 Rostov-na-Donu

20.07 01:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 103:108 Krasnoyarsk

19.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 97:119 Nizhniy Novgorod

19.07 22:05 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 120:121 Rostov-na-Donu

17.07 01:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 140:113 Krasnoyarsk

2 Wins

3 Losses

113.0 Scored

112.0 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Nizhny Novgorod

L W W W L

21.07 21:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 108:114 Krasnoyarsk

20.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 107:105 Rostov-na-Donu

19.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 119:97 Volgograd

19.07 21:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 124:116 Krasnoyarsk

17.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 114:119 Rostov-na-Donu

3 Wins

2 Losses

114.4 Scored

110.2 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVolgograd - Nizhny Novgorod

Volgograd

3 matches total

Nizhny Novgorod

Volgograd: 1 (33.3%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Nizhny Novgorod: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Nizhniy Novgorod 97:119 (19.07 23:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 248 goals (125:123, 14.07 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

19.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd

97:119

Nizhniy Novgorod

16.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd

108:109

Nizhniy Novgorod

14.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd

125:123

Nizhniy Novgorod