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IPBL International

21.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

21.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Volgograd - Rostov-on-Don

International Basketball

Volgograd

105 : 99

Finished

Rostov-on-Don

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Volgograd - Rostov-on-Don July 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Volgograd. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 89.1%

2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Match center

Volgograd - Rostov-on-Don

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 63.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.804 / LogLoss 1.006

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 55.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.613 / LogLoss 0.807

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · line only

1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 190.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Over 191.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.07 48.3%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.60 62.5%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.83 54.6%
	2.23 44.8%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.76 56.8%
	1.77 56.5%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 190.5	1.40 71.4%
Over 191.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 192.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 193.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 194.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 195.5	2.45 40.8%
Over 196.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 197.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 198.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 199.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 200.5	2.45 40.8%
Over 201.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 202.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 203.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 204.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 205.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 206.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 207.5	1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.04 96.2%
	8.50 11.8%

Match center

Volgograd

L L L W L

20.07 01:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 103:108 Krasnoyarsk

19.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 97:119 Nizhniy Novgorod

19.07 22:05 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 120:121 Rostov-na-Donu

17.07 01:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 140:113 Krasnoyarsk

16.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd 108:109 Nizhniy Novgorod

1 Wins

4 Losses

113.6 Scored

114.0 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Rostov-on-Don

L W W W L

20.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 105:107 Nizhniy Novgorod

20.07 00:00 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 119:105 Krasnoyarsk

19.07 22:05 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 121:120 Volgograd

17.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 119:114 Nizhniy Novgorod

17.07 00:00 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 114:124 Krasnoyarsk

3 Wins

2 Losses

115.6 Scored

114.0 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVolgograd - Rostov-on-Don

Volgograd

3 matches total

Rostov-on-Don

Volgograd: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Rostov-on-Don: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Rostov-na-Donu 115:122 (14.07 22:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 241 goals (120:121, 19.07 22:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

19.07 22:05 UTC IPBL

Volgograd

120:121

Rostov-na-Donu

16.07 22:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd

102:107

Rostov-na-Donu

14.07 22:00 UTC IPBL

Volgograd

115:122

Rostov-na-Donu