Liga de Assenso
Colon - Lagomar
Colon go head-to-head with Lagomar on July 23, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Colon 1-0-4, Lagomar 1-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Lagomar — 65%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
2Lagomar — odds 1.62 · edge +3.7% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Kolon: forma PPPPV (1-4)
- • Lagomar: forma VPPP (1-3)
- • Model backs Lagomar: probability 65% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Over 154.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 154.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F1 +6.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.80).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Colon - Lagomar July 23, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Colon - Lagomar
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.89 52.9% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.81 55.3% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.84 54.4% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 148.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 150.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 153.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 154.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 150.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — | — |
| Under 151.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Under 153.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 154.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.07 32.6% | 2.90 34.5% | 11.00 9.1% | 2.93 34.1% | |
| 1.31 76.3% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.35 74.1% |
Colon
Montevideo BK
Sayago
Olivol Mundial
Lagomar
Larre Borzhes
Verdirroyo
Montevideo BK
Full head-to-head history: Colon - Lagomar
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Colon - Lagomar breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Colon vs Lagomar start?
July 23, 2026.