FreeMatch preview

Colon — Lagomar

Basketball 23.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Favourite Lagomar best odds 1.36

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
23.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Colon - Lagomar

International Basketball
Colon
Colon
80 : 89
Finished
Lagomar
Lagomar

Colon go head-to-head with Lagomar on July 23, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Colon 1-0-4, Lagomar 1-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Lagomar65%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

2Lagomar — odds 1.62 · edge +3.7% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Lagomar (odds1.37) Score 78:82 Over 154.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +6.5 (odds1.80) confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct
  • Kolon: forma PPPPV (1-4)
  • Lagomar: forma VPPP (1-3)
  • Model backs Lagomar: probability 65% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 154.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 154.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F1 +6.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Colon - Lagomar July 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lagomar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 4 books · best price +2.3%
1 30.7%
2 69.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 8.4% @ 11.00 / 2 91.6% @ 1.01
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Colon - Lagomar

Form 5/4 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 67.3% fact: away hit / ROI 36.0% / Brier 0.214 / LogLoss 0.396
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 56.9% fact: away hit / ROI 36.0% / Brier 0.371 / LogLoss 0.564
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 2.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 148.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 149.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.84 54.4% 1.89 52.9%
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4%
1.88 53.2%
1.79 55.9%
1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4%
1.88 53.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 148.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 149.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 150.5 1.81 55.3% 1.70 58.8%
Over 151.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
Over 153.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4%
Over 154.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8%
Under 150.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 151.5 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9%
Under 153.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 154.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.07 32.6% 2.90 34.5% 11.00 9.1% 2.93 34.1%
1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Colon
L L L L W
20.07 22:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Colon 74:99 Montevideo BKMontevideo BK
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Colon 73:87 Urupan De Pando
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Colon 60:90 SayagoSayago
10.07 22:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Colon 64:77 Truvill
07.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Colon 74:64 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
1 Wins
4 Losses
69.0 Scored
83.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Lagomar
W L L L
20.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 93:82 Deportivo Albatros
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 63:77 Larre BorzhesLarre Borzhes
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 65:74 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
10.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 66:73 Montevideo BKMontevideo BK
1 Wins
3 Losses
71.8 Scored
76.5 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Colon - Lagomar

Colon
0 matches total
Lagomar
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Colon vs Lagomar start?

July 23, 2026.