FreeMatch preview

Marne — Larre Borges

Basketball 11.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Favourite Larre Borges best odds 1.46

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
11.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Marne - Larre Borges

International Basketball
Marne
Marne
78 : 83
Finished
Larre Borges
Larre Borges

Marne go head-to-head with Larre Borges on August 11, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marne 1-0-4, Larre Borges 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Marne (odds2.25) Score 82:78 Over 155.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +3.5 (odds1.85) confidence 65% ✗ outcome missed
  • Marne: forma VPPPP (1-4)
  • Larre Borzhes: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • Model backs Marne: probability 65% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
  • edge over the line +20 pp — value pick
  • Total: Over 155.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 155.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marne - Larre Borges August 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Larre Borges. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.7% 4 books · best price +1.4%
1 35.9%
2 64.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Marne
36%
9.00
Larre Borges
64%
1.46
Total
Over 154.5
50%
1.86
Under 154.5
50%
1.88

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 11.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 10.1% @ 9.00 / 2 89.9% @ 1.01
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Match center

Marne - Larre Borges

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 64.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.833 / LogLoss 1.036
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.623 / LogLoss 0.817
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 154.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.47 68.0%
1.60 62.5%
1.78 56.2%
1.95 51.3%
2.18 45.9%
1.95 51.3%
2.18 45.9%
1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8%
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 153.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 154.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 155.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 156.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.75 57.1%
Over 157.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 158.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 159.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 160.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 161.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 162.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 155.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
Under 156.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 9.00 11.1% 2.64 37.9%
1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Marne
W L L L L
2026-08-05 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Marne Montevideo Basket Club 82:90 Marne
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Marne Lagomar 82:70 Marne
2026-07-25 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Marne Marne 67:102 Montevideo Basket Club
2026-07-20 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Marne Urupan De Pando 83:74 Marne
2026-07-17 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Marne Marne 73:77 Sayago
1 Wins
4 Losses
74.8 Scored
85.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Larre Borges
L W W L W
2026-08-04 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
Larre Borges 76:90 Olivol Mundial Larre Borges
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Larre Borges 83:62 Colon Larre Borges
2026-07-24 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Deportivo Albatros 85:87 Larre Borges Larre Borges
2026-07-21 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Verdirrojo 84:81 Larre Borges Larre Borges
2026-07-16 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Larre Borges 77:63 Lagomar Larre Borges
3 Wins
2 Losses
80.8 Scored
76.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Marne - Larre Borges

Marne
0 matches total
Larre Borges
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Marne vs Larre Borges start?

August 11, 2026.