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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Marne - Montevideo Basket Club

International Basketball
Marne
Marne
67 : 102
Finished
Montevideo Basket Club
Montevideo Basket Club

Marne take on Montevideo Basket Club on July 25, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marne 2-0-2, Montevideo Basket Club 4-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Montevideo Basket Club (odds1.52) Score 79:81 Under 160.5 (odds1.88) Handicap H1 +3.5 (odds1.90) confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • Marne: forma PPVV (2)
  • Montevideo BK: forma VVVV (4-0)
  • Model backs Montevideo BK: probability 59% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 160.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 160.5 (odds 1.88)
  • Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marne - Montevideo Basket Club July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Montevideo Basket Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 5 books · best price +3.7%
1 30.5%
2 69.5%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Bet365, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 9.6% @ 9.50 / 2 90.4% @ 1.01
Match center

Marne - Montevideo Basket Club

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 67.9% fact: away hit / ROI 39.0% / Brier 0.206 / LogLoss 0.387
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 57.2% fact: away hit / ROI 39.0% / Brier 0.367 / LogLoss 0.559
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 154.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 155.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.88 53.2%
1.88 53.2%
1.88 53.2%
1.84 54.4%
1.88 53.2%
1.79 55.9%
1.84 54.4%
1.79 55.9%
1.89 52.9%
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3%
1.79 55.9% 1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9%
1.88 53.2%
1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 154.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 155.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 156.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 157.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 158.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 159.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.65 60.6%
Over 160.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.65 60.6%
Over 161.5 1.86 53.8% 1.62 61.7%
Under 159.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 160.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 161.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.90 34.5% 3.05 32.8% 2.75 36.4% 9.50 10.5% 3.04 32.9%
1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.39 71.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Marne
L L W W
20.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Marne 74:83 Urupan De Pando
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Marne 73:77 SayagoSayago
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Marne 74:73 Truvill
11.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Marne 72:68 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
2 Wins
2 Losses
73.3 Scored
75.3 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Montevideo Basket Club
W W W W
20.07 22:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 99:74 KolonKolon
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 85:70 Deportivo Albatros
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 103:85 Larre BorzhesLarre Borzhes
10.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Montevideo Basket Club 73:66 LagomarLagomar
4 Wins
0 Losses
90.0 Scored
73.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage