Liga de Assenso
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Sayago — 83%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sayago): model 61% · market 92% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Sayago 82.6%, win Colon 17.4%. Model favourite — Sayago.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sayago.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -13.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| П2 +13.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| П2 -11.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 -12.5 | — | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -13.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 -14.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 -15.5 | — | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -16.5 | — | — | 2.17 46.1% |
| П2 -17.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| П2 -18.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| П2 -19.5 | — | — | 2.17 46.1% |
| П2 -20.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| П2 -21.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -22.5 | — | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 -23.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 -24.5 | — | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 144.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 145.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 146.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 147.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 148.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 149.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 150.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| ТБ 151.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 152.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 153.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 154.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 155.5 | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| ТБ 156.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТБ 157.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТБ 158.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТМ 158.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.08 92.6% |
| П2 | 5.80 17.2% | 5.80 17.2% | 11.00 9.1% | 6.50 15.4% |
Sayago
Larre Borzhes
Colon
Olivol Mundial
Full head-to-head historySayago - Colon
