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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
27.07.2026 23:15 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Sayago - Olimpia

International Basketball
Sayago
Sayago
78 : 89
Finished
Olimpia
Olimpia
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sayago — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sayago): model 51% · market 13% Δ +38 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Sayago ✓ Pick55.3%
2 · Olimpia44.7%

Model estimate: win Sayago 55.3%, win Olimpia 44.7%. Model favourite — Sayago.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sayago (odds1.72) Score 81:79 Over 153.5 (odds1.85) ✗ Handicap H2 +2.5 (odds1.80) ✗ confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Sayago: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Olimpiya: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Sayago: probability 51% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 153.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 153.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +2.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sayago - Olimpia July 27, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olimpia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Olimpia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.10 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Sayago 55.3% / Olimpia 44.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 ✓ Pick 12.7%
2 87.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.72 ↑ 7.10
Winner 2 2.00 ↓ 1.03

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Sayago
#6GP 84-4PPG 79.6OPP 79.2
Olimpia
#2GP 87-1PPG 90.2OPP 79.2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sayago

no data

Olimpia
9-1WWWLWWWWWW
points for 86.6points against 65.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated28.07.2026 00:40 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
2 45%
Score81:77 Total points: Under 158.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0-3
Claude updated28.07.2026 00:52 UTC
1 47%
2 53% ✓ favourite
Score82:86 Total points: Over 159.5 Bet:2 (win Olimpii) at 2.15
Qwen updated28.07.2026 00:48 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total points: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 55% 45% 81:77 Under 158.5
Claude 47% 53% 82:86 Over 159.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Sayago 60%
📐 Math model Sayago 55%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Sayago - Olimpia

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 78:89
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.612 / LogLoss 0.805
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.543 / LogLoss 0.737
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sayago 55.6% 55.3% market and model agree
Olimpia 44.4% 44.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 55.3% / 44.7% probabilities
Rating 1,922 / 1,958 Sayago / Olimpia
RD 195 / 166 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,532-2,312 / 1,627-2,290 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 44.7%
1 7.10 Fonbet · weak value +292.7% · model 55.3%
Total
Over 149.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 150.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
— 1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% —
1.88 53.2% —
1.88 53.2% —
1.84 54.4% —
1.84 54.4% —
1.88 53.2% —
— 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9% —
1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 149.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 150.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 153.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% —
Over 154.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —
Over 155.5 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1% —
Over 156.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% —
Under 153.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% —
Under 154.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% —
Under 155.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 156.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.66 60.2% 1.61 62.1% 7.10 14.1% 1.65 60.6%
2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 1.03 97.1% 2.10 47.6%
Match center
Sayago
W L W W W
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 91:86 TabareTabare
21.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 66:72 StokolmoStokolmo
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 77:73 Marne
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 90:60 KolonKolon
10.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 87:72 Deportivo Albatros
4 Wins
1 Losses
82.2 Scored
72.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Olimpia
W W W L W
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 93:81 Truvill
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 61:58 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 69:59 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 66:68 TabareTabare
09.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Olimpia 84:72 StokolmoStokolmo
4 Wins
1 Losses
74.6 Scored
67.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySayago - Olimpia

Sayago
0 matches total
Olimpia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history