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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
11.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Stockolmo - Tabare

International Basketball
Stockolmo
Stockolmo
80 : 70
Finished
Tabare
Tabare

Stockolmo face Tabare on August 11, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Stockolmo 4-0-1, Tabare 0-0-5. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 63% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Stockolmo63%

1 · Stockolmo ✓ Pick63.3%
market59%
2 · Tabare36.7%
market41%

Model estimate: win Stockolmo 63.3%, win Tabare 36.7%. Model favourite — Stockolmo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Stockolmo (odds1.53) Score 82:78 Over 147.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 +4.5 (odds1.80) confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • Stokolmo: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • Tabare: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • Model backs Stokolmo: probability 63% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.53)
  • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 147.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 147.5 (odds 1.82)
  • Handicap F2 +4.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stockolmo - Tabare August 11, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stockolmo.

Line favourite Fonbet: Stockolmo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 6.10
  • Glicko: Stockolmo 63.3% / Tabare 36.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.8% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 59.3%
2 40.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.53 → 1.53
Winner 2 2.33 → 2.33

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Stockolmo
60%
1.56
Tabare
40%
6.10
Handicap
Stockolmo (1.5)
49%
1.85
Tabare (1.5)
51%
2.20
Total
Over 148.5
50%
1.85
Under 148.5
50%
1.95

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Stockolmo
#4GP 86-2PPG 80.6OPP 70.6
Tabare
#3GP 86-2PPG 84.8OPP 74.6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 11.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 85.2% @ 1.06 / 2 14.8% @ 6.10
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Stockolmo 63%
💹 Market Stockolmo 59%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Stockolmo - Tabare

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 80:70
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 63.3% fact: home hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.270 / LogLoss 0.458
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.3% fact: home hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.399 / LogLoss 0.592
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Stockolmo 60.4% 63.3% market and model agree
Tabare 39.6% 36.7%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 63.3% / 36.7% probabilities
Rating 1,985 / 1,508 Stockolmo / Tabare
RD 160 / 155 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,665-2,306 / 1,197-1,819 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 Fonbet · no value · model 36.7%
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 63.3%
Handicap
2 +1 1.84 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.86 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 145.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 146.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.92 52.1% 1.93 51.8%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2%
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 2.35 42.6%
1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 145.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 146.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 147.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 148.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1%
Over 149.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.63 61.4%
Over 150.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 151.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 152.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 153.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 154.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 148.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 149.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.06 94.3% 1.56 64.1%
2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 6.10 16.4% 2.28 43.9%
Match center
Stockolmo
W W L W W
2026-08-08 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Stockolmo Sayago 73:77 Stockolmo
2026-08-04 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Stockolmo Stockolmo 85:74 Urupan De Pando
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Stockolmo Montevideo Basket Club 87:75 Stockolmo
2026-07-23 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Stockolmo Stockolmo 66:55 Urupan De Pando
2026-07-21 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Stockolmo Sayago 66:75 Stockolmo
4 Wins
1 Losses
75.6 Scored
71.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Tabare
L L L L L
2026-08-08 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Tabare 79:92 Trouville Tabare
2026-08-01 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Verdirrojo 78:72 Tabare Tabare
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Urupan De Pando 100:97 Tabare Tabare
2026-07-24 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Tabare 86:91 Sayago Tabare
2026-07-21 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Trouville 76:64 Tabare Tabare
0 Wins
5 Losses
79.6 Scored
87.4 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStockolmo - Tabare

Stockolmo
1 matches total
Tabare
Stockolmo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tabare: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Tabare 80:70 (2026-07-06) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 150 goals (80:70, 2026-07-06) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-06 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Tabare 80:70 Stockolmo

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stockolmo vs Tabare?

By the PropickAI model, Stockolmo is favoured — about 63% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Stockolmo vs Tabare?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Stockolmo. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Stockolmo vs Tabare start?

August 11, 2026.