Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Stockolmo — 70%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
2Urupan De Pando — odds 4.20 · edge +6.2% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Stokolmo: forma VPVP (2)
- • Urupan De Pando: forma VVVV (4-0)
- • Model backs Stokolmo: probability 70% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.29)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Over 150.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 150.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 83:77 (diff +6) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando July 23, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.81 55.3% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.84 54.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 122.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 123.5 | — | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 124.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 125.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 126.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 127.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 148.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — | — |
| Over 149.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 150.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 151.5 | — | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Under 148.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — | — |
| Under 149.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 150.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 151.5 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.27 78.7% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 9.00 11.1% | 3.42 29.2% |
Stockolmo
Sayago
Olivol Mundial
Olimpiya
Urupan De Pando
Kolon
Larre Borzhes
Full head-to-head historyStockolmo - Urupan De Pando
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form