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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
23.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando

International Basketball
Stockolmo
Stockolmo
66 : 55
Finished
Urupan De Pando
Urupan De Pando
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Stockolmo70%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

2Urupan De Pando — odds 4.20 · edge +6.2% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Stockolmo (odds1.29) Score 83:77 Over 150.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +7.5 (odds1.85) confidence 70% ✓ outcome correct
  • Stokolmo: forma VPVP (2)
  • Urupan De Pando: forma VVVV (4-0)
  • Model backs Stokolmo: probability 70% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.29)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 150.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 150.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 83:77 (diff +6) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando July 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Stockolmo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 89.9%
2 10.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Match center

Stockolmo - Urupan De Pando

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 70.1% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.178 / LogLoss 0.355
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 58.1% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.352 / LogLoss 0.544
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 122.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 123.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3%
1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 122.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 123.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 124.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 125.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 126.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 127.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 148.5 1.81 55.3%
Over 149.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4%
Over 150.5 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6%
Over 151.5 1.81 55.3%
Under 148.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 149.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 150.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5%
Under 151.5 1.89 52.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.27 78.7%
3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 9.00 11.1% 3.42 29.2%
Match center
Stockolmo
W L W L
21.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 72:66 SayagoSayago
18.07 00:40 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 50:54 Truvill
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 72:54 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
09.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Stockolmo 72:84 OlimpiyaOlimpiya
2 Wins
2 Losses
66.5 Scored
64.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Urupan De Pando
W W W W
20.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 83:74 Marne
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 87:73 KolonKolon
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 96:83 Deportivo Albatros
11.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 75:71 Larre BorzhesLarre Borzhes
4 Wins
0 Losses
85.3 Scored
75.3 Conceded
100% Win percentage