FreeMatch preview

Tabare — Lagomar

Basketball 14.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Favourite Tabare best odds 1.85

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Tabare - Lagomar

International Basketball
Tabare
Tabare
59 : 61
Finished
Lagomar
Lagomar

Tabare face Lagomar on August 14, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tabare 0-0-5, Lagomar 4-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tabare (odds1.24) Score 84:76 Over 155.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H1 -6.5 (odds1.85) confidence 73% ✗ outcome missed
  • Tabare: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • Lagomar: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • liniya na pik P1 1.35→1.23 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • Model backs Tabare: probability 73% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.24)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 155.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 155.5 (odds 1.82)
  • Handicap F1 -6.5: score forecast 84:76 (diff +8) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tabare - Lagomar August 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tabare. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / 2 1.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 5 books · best price +37.0%
1 68.1%
2 31.9%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Tabare
69%
1.85
Lagomar
31%
3.11
Total
Over 156
50%
1.87
Under 156
50%
1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 50.0% @ 1.85 / 2 50.0% @ 1.85
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Match center

Tabare - Lagomar

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 66.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.894 / LogLoss 1.105
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.644 / LogLoss 0.838
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 132.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Over 133.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9%
1.84 54.4%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 132.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 133.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 134.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 135.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 136.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 137.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 138.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 139.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 140.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 141.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 155.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
Over 156.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
Under 155.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
Under 156.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon Pinnacle
1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.31 76.2%
2.87 34.8% 2.90 34.5% 1.85 54.1% 2.94 34.0% 3.11 32.2%
Match center
Tabare
L L L L L
2026-08-11 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Tabare Stockolmo 84:72 Tabare
2026-08-08 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Tabare Tabare 79:92 Trouville
2026-08-01 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Tabare Verdirrojo 78:72 Tabare
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Tabare Urupan De Pando 100:97 Tabare
2026-07-24 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Tabare Tabare 86:91 Sayago
0 Wins
5 Losses
81.2 Scored
89.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Lagomar
W W L W W
2026-08-11 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Lagomar 78:68 Sayago Lagomar
2026-08-07 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Urupan De Pando 80:87 Lagomar Lagomar
2026-07-31 Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
Olimpia 84:69 Lagomar Lagomar
2026-07-29 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Lagomar 82:70 Marne Lagomar
2026-07-25 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Urupan De Pando 61:71 Lagomar Lagomar
4 Wins
1 Losses
77.4 Scored
72.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Tabare - Lagomar

Tabare
0 matches total
Lagomar
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Tabare vs Lagomar start?

August 14, 2026.