FreeMatch preview

Tabare — Sayago

Basketball 24.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Favourite Tabare best odds 2.02

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
24.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Tabare - Sayago

International Basketball
Tabare
Tabare
86 : 91
Finished
Sayago
Sayago

Tabare face Sayago on July 24, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tabare 3-0-1, Sayago 4-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tabare (odds1.50) Score 81:79 Over 151.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 +4.5 (odds1.85) confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • Tabare: forma PVVV (3-1)
  • Sayago: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • Model backs Tabare: probability 53% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 151.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 151.5 (odds 1.82)
  • Handicap F2 +4.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tabare - Sayago July 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sayago. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.02 / 2 1.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 4 books · best price +39.3%
1 63.5%
2 36.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Tabare
#3GP 86-2PPG 84.8OPP 74.6
Sayago
#6GP 84-4PPG 79.6OPP 79.2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 24.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 45.7% @ 2.02 / 2 54.3% @ 1.70
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$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Tabare - Sayago

Form 4/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 62.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.792 / LogLoss 0.992
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.609 / LogLoss 0.802
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.87 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 149.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 150.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.88 53.2% 1.81 55.3%
1.88 53.2%
1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9%
1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 149.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 150.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 151.5 1.81 55.3% 1.68 59.5%
Over 152.5 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.65 60.6%
Over 153.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 154.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 155.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 156.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 157.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 158.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 159.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 160.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 151.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 152.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.43 69.9%
2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 1.70 58.8% 2.63 38.0%
Match center
Tabare
L W W W
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare 64:74 Truvill
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare 74:55 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare 68:66 OlimpiyaOlimpiya
09.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Tabare 81:78 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
3 Wins
1 Losses
71.8 Scored
68.3 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Sayago
L W W W W
21.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 66:72 StokolmoStokolmo
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 77:73 Marne
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 90:60 KolonKolon
10.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 87:72 Deportivo Albatros
07.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Sayago 77:60 Larre BorzhesLarre Borzhes
4 Wins
1 Losses
79.4 Scored
67.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Tabare - Sayago

Tabare
0 matches total
Sayago
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Tabare vs Sayago start?

July 24, 2026.