Liga de Assenso
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Trouville — 88%
Pure model vs market (1 · Trouville): model 65% · market 92% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Trouville 87.8%, win Olivol Mundial 12.2%. Model favourite — Trouville.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Trouville.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.17 46.1% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| 1.68 59.5% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.57 63.7% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 1.65 60.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 139.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 140.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 141.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 142.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 143.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 144.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 145.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 146.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 147.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 148.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 149.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 150.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 152.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 153.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 154.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 155.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 156.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | 1.04 96.2% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | 8.30 12.1% |
Trouville
Olimpiya
Tabare
Stokolmo
Kolon
Olivol Mundial
Verdirroyo
Olimpiya
Tabare
Stokolmo
Full head-to-head historyTrouville - Olivol Mundial
The Trouville - Olivol Mundial breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
