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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Urupan De Pando - Lagomar

International Basketball
Urupan De Pando
Urupan De Pando
61 : 71
Finished
Lagomar
Lagomar

Urupan De Pando meet Lagomar on July 25, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Urupan De Pando 4-0-1, Lagomar 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Urupan De Pando (odds1.45) Score 82:78 Over 156.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +5.5 (odds1.80) confidence 62% ✗ outcome missed
  • Urupan De Pando: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • Lagomar: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • Model backs Urupan De Pando: probability 62% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 156.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 156.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Urupan De Pando - Lagomar July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lagomar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.80 / 2 1.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 6 books · best price +136.8%
1 57.5%
2 42.5%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Bet365, Bet365 (no latency), Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 24.0% @ 3.80 / 2 76.0% @ 1.20
Match center

Urupan De Pando - Lagomar

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 57.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.670 / LogLoss 0.865
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 53.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.565 / LogLoss 0.758
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 3.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 133.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 135.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.79 55.9%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4%
1.88 53.2%
1.88 53.2%
1.88 53.2%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3%
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
1.79 55.9%
1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 133.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 135.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 136.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 137.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 138.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 139.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 140.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 141.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 142.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 143.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 144.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 145.5 2.18 45.9%
Over 146.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 147.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 156.5 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4%
Under 156.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.61 62.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 3.80 26.3% 1.62 61.7%
2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 1.20 83.3% 2.15 46.5%
Match center
Urupan De Pando
L W W W W
23.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 55:66 StokolmoStokolmo
20.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 83:74 Marne
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 87:73 KolonKolon
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 96:83 Deportivo Albatros
11.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Urupan De Pando 75:71 Larre BorzhesLarre Borzhes
4 Wins
1 Losses
79.2 Scored
73.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Lagomar
W W L L L
23.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 89:80 KolonKolon
20.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 93:82 Deportivo Albatros
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 63:77 Larre BorzhesLarre Borzhes
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 65:74 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
10.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Lagomar 66:73 Montevideo BKMontevideo BK
2 Wins
3 Losses
75.2 Scored
77.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUrupan De Pando - Lagomar

Urupan De Pando
0 matches total
Lagomar
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history