Liga de Assenso
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Verdirrojo — 86%
Pure model vs market (1 · Verdirrojo): model 64% · market 92% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Verdirrojo 86.0%, win Deportivo Albatros 14.0%. Model favourite — Verdirrojo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Verdirrojo.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.89 52.9% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 2.10 47.6% | |
| — | — | 2.50 40.0% | |
| — | — | 2.55 39.2% | |
| — | — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | — | 2.55 39.2% | |
| — | — | 2.35 42.6% | |
| — | — | 2.55 39.2% | |
| — | — | 2.80 35.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 157.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 159.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 160.5 | — | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 161.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 162.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 163.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 157.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 158.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | — |
| Under 161.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.05 95.2% | |
| 6.90 14.5% | 7.30 13.7% | 11.00 9.1% | 7.60 13.2% |
Verdirrojo
Larre Borzhes
Olivol Mundial
Larre Borzhes
Olimpiya
Lagomar
Deportivo Albatros
Larre Borzhes
Lagomar
Montevideo BK
Sayago
Full head-to-head historyVerdirrojo - Deportivo Albatros
The Verdirrojo - Deportivo Albatros breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
