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Verdirrojo — Larre Borges

Basketball 21.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Favourite Verdirrojo best odds 1.47

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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League de Assenso
League de Assenso International
21.07.2026 23:15 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
21.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

League de Assenso

Verdirrojo vs Larre Borges — Basketball prediction

International Basketball
Verdirrojo
Verdirrojo
77 : 73
Finished
Larre Borges
Larre Borges

Verdirrojo face Larre Borges on July 21, 2026 in the League de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Verdirrojo 1-0-2, Larre Borges 1-0-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner — Verdirrojo

Model confidence 78% ~88% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Verdirrojo (odds1.42) Score 82:78 Over 154.5 (odds1.85) ✓ Handicap H2 +5.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Verdirroyo: forma PVP (1-2)
  • • Larre Borzhes: forma VPPP (1-3)
  • • Model backs Verdirroyo: probability 64% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 154.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 154.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Verdirrojo - Larre Borges July 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Verdirrojo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / 2 4.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 6 books
1 63.3%
2 36.7%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Bet365, Bet365 (no latency), Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score82:74 Total points: Over 154.5 Bet:Handicap 1 (-5.5)
Per AI data H2H: 2:3
Kimi updated22.07.2026 00:36 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score87:79 Total points: Over 155.5 Bet:1 Verdirroyo
Per AI data Form:59:69L,74:65W,80:84L,92:65W,63:82L / 77:63W,85:103L,71:75L,60:77L,80:97L
GLM 5.2 updated22.07.2026 00:37 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score85:78 Total points: Under 155.5 Bet:1 (Win Verdirroyo)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 65% 35% 82:74 Over 154.5 Handicap 1 (-5.5)
Kimi 65% 35% 87:79 Over 155.5
GLM 5.2 62% 38% 85:78 Under 155.5

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Match center
Start 21.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 78.2% @ 1.17 / 2 21.8% @ 4.20
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Match center

Verdirrojo - Larre Borges

Form 3/4 recent games
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 77:73
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 72.8% fact: home hit / ROI 47.0% / Brier 0.148 / LogLoss 0.317
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 59.1% fact: home hit / ROI 47.0% / Brier 0.334 / LogLoss 0.525
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 151.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 152.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3% —
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% —
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 151.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 152.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 153.5 1.81 55.3% — 1.50 66.7%
Over 154.5 1.81 55.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.50 66.7%
Over 155.5 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.57 63.7%
Over 156.5 — — 1.48 67.6%
Over 157.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 158.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Under 153.5 1.86 53.8% — —
Under 154.5 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0% —
Under 155.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.46 68.5%
2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.54 39.4% 2.50 40.0% 4.20 23.8% 2.52 39.7%
Match center
Verdirrojo
L W L
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Verdirrojo 59:69 OlimpiyaOlimpiya
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Verdirrojo 74:65 LagomarLagomar
09.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Verdirrojo 78:81 TabareTabare
1 Wins
2 Losses
70.3 Scored
71.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Larre Borges
W L L L
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 77:63 LagomarLagomar
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 85:103 Montevideo BKMontevideo BK
11.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 71:75 Urupan De Pando
07.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 60:77 SayagoSayago
1 Wins
3 Losses
73.3 Scored
79.5 Conceded
25% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Verdirrojo vs Larre Borges?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Verdirrojo. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Verdirrojo vs Larre Borges?

Live odds for Verdirrojo vs Larre Borges from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Verdirrojo vs Larre Borges start?

July 21, 2026.