FreeMatch preview

Verdirrojo — Larre Borges

Basketball 25.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Favourite Verdirrojo best odds 1.42

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Liga de Assenso
Liga de Assenso International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

Liga de Assenso

Verdirrojo - Larre Borges

International Basketball
Verdirrojo
Verdirrojo
84 : 81
Finished
Larre Borges
Larre Borges

Verdirrojo meet Larre Borges on July 25, 2026 in the Liga de Assenso, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Verdirrojo 3-0-2, Larre Borges 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Verdirrojo (odds1.32) Score 82:78 Over 153.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H2 +7.5 (odds1.80) confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct
  • Verdirroyo: forma VPVP (2)
  • Larre Borzhes: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • Model backs Verdirroyo: probability 61% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
  • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Over 153.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 153.5 (odds 1.82)
  • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Verdirrojo - Larre Borges July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Verdirrojo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 4 books
1 65.1%
2 34.9%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 71.1% @ 1.30 / 2 28.9% @ 3.20
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Match center

Verdirrojo - Larre Borges

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 64.8% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.248 / LogLoss 0.434
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.389 / LogLoss 0.581
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 154 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.79 55.9%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 153.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
Over 154.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 155.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 157.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Over 160.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
Under 153.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 154.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 155.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 157.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 160.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.41 70.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.42 70.4%
2.63 38.0% 2.65 37.7% 3.20 31.3% 2.65 37.7%
Match center
Verdirrojo
W W L W L
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Verdirrojo 76:64 Olivol MundialOlivol Mundial
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Verdirrojo 77:73 Larre BorzhesLarre Borzhes
17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Verdirrojo 59:69 OlimpiyaOlimpiya
14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Verdirrojo 74:65 LagomarLagomar
09.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Verdirrojo 78:81 TabareTabare
3 Wins
2 Losses
72.8 Scored
70.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Larre Borges
W L W L L
24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 86:83 Deportivo Albatros
21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 73:77 VerdirroyoVerdirroyo
16.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 77:63 LagomarLagomar
13.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 85:103 Montevideo BKMontevideo BK
11.07 00:30 UTC Liga de Assenso
Larre Borges 71:75 Urupan De Pando
2 Wins
3 Losses
78.4 Scored
80.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Verdirrojo - Larre Borges

Verdirrojo
1 matches total
Larre Borges
Verdirrojo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Larre Borges: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Verdirroyo 77:73 (21.07 23:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 150 goals (77:73, 21.07 23:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso
Verdirroyo
77:73
Larre Borzhes

Frequently asked questions

When does Verdirrojo vs Larre Borges start?

July 25, 2026.