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Abejas de Leon — Panteras de Aguascalientes

Basketball 16.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Favourite Panteras de Aguascalientes best odds 1.85 Venue: Domo de la Feria, Leon

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

Mexico. LNBP

Abejas de Leon - Panteras de Aguascalientes

Basketball
Abejas de Leon
Abejas de Leon
92 : 83
Finished
Panteras de Aguascalientes
Panteras de Aguascalientes

Abejas de Leon go head-to-head with Panteras de Aguascalientes on August 16, 2026 in the Mexico. LNBP.

Recent form (W-D-L): Abejas de Leon 2-0-3, Panteras de Aguascalientes 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Abejas de Leon (odds1.56) Score 81:79 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • Abekhas: forma PPPPV (1-4)
  • Panteras: forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • Model backs Abekhas: probability 59% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Abejas de Leon - Panteras de Aguascalientes August 16, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Panteras de Aguascalientes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / 2 1.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +1.4%
1 49.3%
2 50.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Abejas de Leon
49%
1.91
Panteras de Aguascalientes
51%
1.85
Total
Over 167.5
50%
1.85
Under 167.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Abejas de Leon
#514 ptsGP 104-6
Panteras de Aguascalientes
#314 ptsGP 95-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

29Wins14
91.7Points on average86.0

Head-to-head matches: 43 · average total 177.7 (points)

Team form

Abejas de Leon
4-6WWLWLLLLWL
points for 86.7points against 88.3
Panteras de Aguascalientes
6-4WLWLLWWWLW
points for 87.5points against 82.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Abejas de LeonPanteras de Aguascalientes
  • 1' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 1' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 2' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 3' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 3' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 3' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 4' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 4' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 5' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 5' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 6' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 6' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 6' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 7' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 7' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 8' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 8' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 9' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 9' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 10' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 10' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 11' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 11' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 12' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 12' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 12' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 13' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 13' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 13' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 14' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 14' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 14' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 15' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 15' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 15' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 15' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 16' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 16' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 17' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 18' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 18' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 18' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 19' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 19' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 20' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 20' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 21' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 22' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 22' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 22' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 23' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 23' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 25' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 25' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 25' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 25' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 25' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 25' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 26' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 26' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 27' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 27' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 27' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 28' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 28' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 29' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 30' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 30' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 31' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 32' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 33' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 33' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 34' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 35' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 35' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 35' Goal Abejas de Leon
  • 37' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 37' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 38' Goal Panteras de Aguascalientes
  • 38' Goal Abejas de Leon

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 16.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 49.2% @ 1.91 / 2 50.8% @ 1.85
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Abejas de Leon - Panteras de Aguascalientes

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.503 / LogLoss 0.696
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.694
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.82 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 167.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 168.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.72 58.1% 1.72 58.1%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 167.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 168.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.68 59.5%
Over 169.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% 1.76 56.8%
Over 170.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 167.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 168.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 169.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%
Under 170.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-5
2026-08-16 · Abekhas de Leon 92:83 Panteras Aguaskalentes
2025-07-12 · Abekhas de Leon 97:114 Panteras Aguaskalentes
2025-07-11 · Abekhas de Leon 103:98 Panteras Aguaskalentes
2024-09-14 · Abekhas de Leon 86:101 Panteras Aguaskalentes
2024-09-13 · Abekhas de Leon 93:95 Panteras Aguaskalentes
Source: ruscore
Abejas de Leon
L L W W
2026-08-07 LNBP 2026
Abejas de Leon Abejas de Leon 83:95 Astros Jalisco
2026-08-06 LNBP 2026
Abejas de Leon Abejas de Leon 90:103 Astros Jalisco
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026
Abejas de Leon Abejas de Leon 101:89 Correcaminos
2026-07-24 LNBP 2026
Abejas de Leon Abejas de Leon 95:88 Correcaminos
2 Wins
2 Losses
92.3 Scored
93.8 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Panteras de Aguascalientes
W L L W
2026-08-07 LNBP 2026
Gambusinos De Fresnillo 69:88 Panteras de Aguascalientes Panteras de Aguascalientes
2026-08-06 LNBP 2026
Gambusinos De Fresnillo 84:74 Panteras de Aguascalientes Panteras de Aguascalientes
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026
Diablos Rojos Del Mexico 92:88 Panteras de Aguascalientes Panteras de Aguascalientes
2026-07-24 LNBP 2026
Diablos Rojos Del Mexico 80:91 Panteras de Aguascalientes Panteras de Aguascalientes
2 Wins
2 Losses
85.3 Scored
81.3 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Abejas de Leon - Panteras de Aguascalientes

Abejas de Leon
3 matches total
Panteras de Aguascalientes
Abejas de Leon: 1 (33.3%)
Panteras de Aguascalientes: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Panteras de Aguascalientes 97:114 (2025-07-12) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 211 points (97:114, 2025-07-12) most points in a game

Match history

2025-07-12 LNBP 2026
Abejas de Leon 97:114 Panteras de Aguascalientes
2025-07-11 LNBP 2026
Abejas de Leon 103:98 Panteras de Aguascalientes
2024-09-14 LNBP 2026
Panteras de Aguascalientes 101:86 Abejas de Leon

Detailed match statistics Abejas de Leon – Panteras de Aguascalientes

51Ball possession49
14/3/17Free throws scored8/6/14
24/15/39Two pointers scored21/21/42
11/14/25Three pointers scored11/25/36
8Max Points in a Row7
6Timeouts6
41Rebounds39
49Successful Attempts40
14Fouls25
3Fouls current period4
17Biggest lead2
2357Time spent in lead10
2Lead changes1

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Recent form

Abejas de Leon WLLLLW
Panteras de Aguascalientes LWWWLL

Standings

# PWL+/-Pts
1Dorados de Chihuahua10733717
2Fuerza Regia1073117
3Panteras de Aguascalientes9543214
4Correcaminos1129-7213
5Abejas de Leon945-113
6Freseros de Irapuato1037-5713
7Santos de San Luis945-5913

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Team form & streaks

Abejas de Leon WLLLLW
Panteras de Aguascalientes LWWWLL

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Standings around this match East

# PWL+/-Pts
3Panteras de Aguascalientes9543214
5Abejas de Leon945-113

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Stadium: Domo de la Feria, Leon

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

When does Abejas de Leon vs Panteras de Aguascalientes start?

August 16, 2026.