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Freseros — Correcaminos de la UAT

Basketball 12.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Favourite Freseros best odds 1.42

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
12.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

Mexico. LNBP

Freseros vs Correcaminos de la UAT — Basketball prediction

Basketball
Freseros
Freseros
83 : 86
Finished
Correcaminos de la UAT
Correcaminos de la UAT

Freseros meet Correcaminos de la UAT on August 12, 2026 in the Mexico. LNBP.

Recent form (W-D-L): Freseros 3-0-2, Correcaminos de la UAT 0-0-5. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Freseros (odds1.47) Score 82:78 confidence 63% ✗ outcome missed
  • Freseros: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • Korrekaminos: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • Model backs Freseros: probability 63% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Freseros - Correcaminos de la UAT August 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Freseros. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / 2 2.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 5 books · best price +2.2%
1 66.4%
2 33.6%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Freseros
67%
1.42
Correcaminos de la UAT
33%
2.85
Total
Over 179.5
50%
1.92
Under 179.5
50%
1.88

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Freseros
#520 ptsGP 146-8
Correcaminos de la UAT
#717 ptsGP 143-11

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

3Wins4
97.3Points on average95.1

Head-to-head matches: 7 · average total 192.4 (points)

Team form

Freseros
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
points for 86.9points against 89.4
Correcaminos de la UAT
3-7LWLLLWLLLW
points for 83.9points against 89.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

FreserosCorrecaminos de la UAT
  • 2' Goal Freseros
  • 3' Goal Freseros
  • 3' Goal Freseros
  • 3' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 4' Goal Freseros
  • 4' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 5' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 5' Goal Freseros
  • 5' Goal Freseros
  • 6' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 6' Goal Freseros
  • 7' Goal Freseros
  • 8' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 9' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 9' Goal Freseros
  • 10' Goal Freseros
  • 10' Goal Freseros
  • 11' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 11' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 12' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 12' Goal Freseros
  • 13' Goal Freseros
  • 13' Goal Freseros
  • 13' Goal Freseros
  • 13' Goal Freseros
  • 14' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 14' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 15' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 15' Goal Freseros
  • 15' Goal Freseros
  • 15' Goal Freseros
  • 16' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 16' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 17' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 17' Goal Freseros
  • 17' Goal Freseros
  • 18' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 18' Goal Freseros
  • 18' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 19' Goal Freseros
  • 20' Goal Freseros
  • 20' Goal Freseros
  • 20' Goal Freseros
  • 21' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 22' Goal Freseros
  • 22' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 23' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 23' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 23' Goal Freseros
  • 23' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 24' Goal Freseros
  • 25' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 25' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 25' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 26' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 26' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 26' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 26' Goal Freseros
  • 26' Goal Freseros
  • 27' Goal Freseros
  • 27' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 27' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 28' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 28' Goal Freseros
  • 28' Goal Freseros
  • 29' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 30' Goal Freseros
  • 30' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 31' Goal Freseros
  • 31' Goal Freseros
  • 31' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 32' Goal Freseros
  • 32' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 33' Goal Freseros
  • 34' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 35' Goal Freseros
  • 36' Goal Freseros
  • 36' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT
  • 36' Goal Freseros
  • 37' Goal Correcaminos de la UAT

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 12.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 66.7% @ 1.42 / 2 33.3% @ 2.85
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Freseros - Correcaminos de la UAT

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 62.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.786 / LogLoss 0.986
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.607 / LogLoss 0.800
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.77 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 169.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Over 170.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
1.82 55.0%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.91 52.4%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.81 55.3%
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 171.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 172.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 173.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 175.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 177.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
Over 179.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
Over 180.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
Under 173.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 175.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 177.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Under 179.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Under 180.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.42 70.4%
2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.85 35.1% 2.85 35.1% 2.65 37.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-5
2026-08-12 · Freseros de Irapuato 83:86 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
2026-08-11 · Freseros de Irapuato 99:96 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
2025-08-23 · Freseros de Irapuato 86:87 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
2025-08-22 · Freseros de Irapuato 85:101 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
2024-10-06 · Freseros de Irapuato 88:89 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
Source: ruscore
Freseros
W L
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026
Freseros Freseros de Irapuato 92:89 Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026
Freseros Freseros de Irapuato 93:105 Mineros de Zacatecas
1 Wins
1 Losses
92.5 Scored
97.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Correcaminos de la UAT
L L L L L
2026-08-07 LNBP 2026
Mineros de Zacatecas 98:76 Correcaminos Correcaminos de la UAT
2026-08-06 LNBP 2026
Mineros de Zacatecas 95:76 Correcaminos Correcaminos de la UAT
2026-07-29 LNBP 2026
Astros Jalisco 94:74 Correcaminos Correcaminos de la UAT
2026-07-28 LNBP 2026
Astros Jalisco 93:86 Correcaminos Correcaminos de la UAT
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026
Abejas de Leon 101:89 Correcaminos Correcaminos de la UAT
0 Wins
5 Losses
80.2 Scored
96.2 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Freseros - Correcaminos de la UAT

Freseros
3 matches total
Correcaminos de la UAT
Freseros: 0 (0%)
Correcaminos de la UAT: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Correcaminos 85:101 (2025-08-22) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 186 points (85:101, 2025-08-22) most points in a game

Match history

2025-08-23 LNBP 2026
Freseros de Irapuato 86:87 Correcaminos
2025-08-22 LNBP 2026
Freseros de Irapuato 85:101 Correcaminos
2024-10-06 LNBP 2026
Freseros de Irapuato 88:89 Correcaminos

Detailed match statistics Freseros – Correcaminos de la UAT

51Ball possession49
14/7/21Free throws scored18/5/23
30/26/56Two pointers scored19/13/32
3/23/26Three pointers scored10/15/25
8Max Points in a Row10
5Timeouts2
41Rebounds42
47Successful Attempts47
20Fouls16
3Fouls current period3
11Biggest lead5
1957Time spent in lead119
2Lead changes2

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Freseros vs Correcaminos de la UAT?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Freseros. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Freseros vs Correcaminos de la UAT?

Live odds for Freseros vs Correcaminos de la UAT from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Freseros vs Correcaminos de la UAT start?

August 12, 2026.