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LNBP
LNBP International
07.08.2026 02:15 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 02:15 UTC
Finished

LNBP

Fuerza Regia - Dorados

International Basketball
Fuerza Regia
Fuerza Regia
57 : 87
Finished
Dorados
Dorados

Fuerza Regia take on Dorados on August 7, 2026 in the LNBP, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fuerza Regia 4-0-1, Dorados 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 38% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Dorados — 62%

1 · Fuerza Regia37.9%
market69%
2 · Dorados ✓ Pick62.1%
market31%

Model estimate: win Fuerza Regia 37.9%, win Dorados 62.1%. Model favourite — Dorados.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dorados (odds3.35) Score 78:82 Under 164.5 (odds2.03) ✓ Handicap H2 +7.5 (odds1.90) ✗ confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Fuertsa Regia: forma P (0-1)
  • • Dorados: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Dorados: probability 62% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.35)
  • • edge over the line +32 pp — value pick
  • • Total: Under 164.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 164.5 (odds 2.03)
  • • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fuerza Regia - Dorados August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fuerza Regia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fuerza Regia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95
  • Glicko: Fuerza Regia 37.9% / Dorados 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 68.6%
2 ✓ Pick 31.4%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.28 → 1.28
Winner 2 3.35 → 3.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Fuerza Regia
#58 ptsGP 53-2
Dorados
#19 ptsGP 54-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

17Wins11
80.8Points on average79.4

Head-to-head matches: 28 · average total 160.1 (points)

Team form

Fuerza Regia
7-3WWWLWWWLWL
points for 86.4points against 84.1
Dorados
6-4LWWLLWWWLW
points for 83.7points against 80.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 02:15 UTC
Market 1 68.6% @ 1.35 / 2 31.4% @ 2.95
Form 4 matches
Match center

Fuerza Regia - Dorados

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 57:87
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 62.1% fact: away hit / ROI 235.0% / Brier 0.287 / LogLoss 0.476
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 54.9% fact: away hit / ROI 235.0% / Brier 0.408 / LogLoss 0.600
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fuerza Regia 72.4% 37.9% market favourite
Dorados 27.7% 62.1% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 37.9% / 62.1% probabilities
Rating 1,418 / 1,970 Fuerza Regia / Dorados
RD 316 / 233 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 786-2,050 / 1,504-2,436 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · weak value +83.3% · model 62.1%
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 37.9%
Total
Over 156.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 157.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.93 51.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.50 66.7%
1.60 62.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.48 67.6%
1.63 61.4%
1.53 65.4%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 156.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 157.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 158.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 159.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 160.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 161.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 162.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 163.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 164.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 165.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 166.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 168.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 169.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 170.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 171.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 172.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 173.5 2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
2.95 33.9%
Match center
Fuerza Regia
W L W W W
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026, East
Fuerza Regia Panteras de Aguascalientes 75:82 Fuerza Regia
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026, East
Fuerza Regia Panteras de Aguascalientes 90:85 Fuerza Regia
2026-07-26 LNBP 2026, East
Fuerza Regia Fuerza Regia 95:89 Soles de Mexicali
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, East
Fuerza Regia Fuerza Regia 94:91 Soles de Mexicali
2025-11-11 LNBP 2025, Playoffs
Fuerza Regia Fuerza Regia 83:74 Diablos Rojos
4 Wins
1 Losses
87.8 Scored
83.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Dorados
L W W W L
2026-08-02 LNBP 2026, East
Dorados 67:87 Diablos Rojos Dorados
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026, East
Dorados 86:70 Diablos Rojos Dorados
2026-07-26 LNBP 2026, East
Dorados 89:79 Freseros de Irapuato Dorados
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, East
Dorados 84:80 Freseros de Irapuato Dorados
2025-10-18 LNBP 2025, Playoffs
Diablos Rojos 89:83 Dorados Dorados
3 Wins
2 Losses
81.8 Scored
81.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFuerza Regia - Dorados

Fuerza Regia
0 matches total
Dorados
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history