FreeMatch preview

Gambusinos — Astros Jalisco

Basketball 25.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Favourite Astros Jalisco best odds 1.43

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
25.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Mexico. LNBP

Gambusinos - Astros Jalisco

Basketball
Gambusinos
Gambusinos
86 : 71
Finished
Astros Jalisco
Astros Jalisco

Gambusinos meet Astros Jalisco on July 25, 2026 in the Mexico. LNBP.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Astros Jalisco (odds1.92) Score 79:81 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • Astros: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • Model backs Astros: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gambusinos - Astros Jalisco July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Astros Jalisco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / 2 1.43

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4% 3 books
1 35.5%
2 64.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Gambusinos
#613 ptsGP 103-7
Astros Jalisco
#118 ptsGP 108-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Gambusinos
3-7WLLLWLLLWL
points for 74.5points against 79.2
Astros Jalisco
8-2WWWWLWWWWL
points for 89.0points against 78.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 34.9% @ 2.67 / 2 65.1% @ 1.43
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Match center

Gambusinos - Astros Jalisco

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 63.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.810 / LogLoss 1.012
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 55.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.615 / LogLoss 0.809
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.43 market consensus · line only
1 2.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 163.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Over 164.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.81 55.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.81 55.3%
1.88 53.2%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.91 52.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 163.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4%
Over 164.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%
Over 165.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Under 163.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%
Under 164.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
Under 165.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.67 37.5%
1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.42 70.4%

Frequently asked questions

When does Gambusinos vs Astros Jalisco start?

July 25, 2026.