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AI verdict

AI pick Dorados win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 3.70

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Dorados. Full breakdown below.

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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
15.08.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
15.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

Mexico. LNBP

Lobos Plateados - Dorados

Basketball
Lobos Plateados
Lobos Plateados
52 : 51
Finished
Dorados
Dorados

Lobos Plateados face Dorados on August 15, 2026 in the Mexico. LNBP.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lobos Plateados 1-0-4, Dorados 4-0-1. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Dorados — 56%

1 · Lobos Plateados43.6%
2 · Dorados ✓ Pick56.4%

Model estimate: win Lobos Plateados 43.6%, win Dorados 56.4%. Model favourite — Dorados.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dorados (odds1.81) Score 78:82 confidence 65% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Lobos Plateados: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Dorados: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Dorados: probability 65% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lobos Plateados - Dorados August 15, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lobos Plateados.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lobos Plateados. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.22 / 2 3.70
  • Glicko: Lobos Plateados 43.6% / Dorados 56.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 6 books · best price +122.9%
1 44.2%
2 ✓ Pick 55.8%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.15 ↓ 1.94
Winner 2 1.62 ↑ 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Lobos Plateados
44%
2.25
Dorados
56%
3.70
Total
Over 162.5
50%
2.17
Under 162.5
50%
1.83

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

4Wins1
97.6Points on average87.0

Head-to-head matches: 5 · average total 184.6 (points)

Team form

Lobos Plateados
4-6LWWLWLLLLW
points for 76.3points against 82.2
Dorados
7-3LWWWLWWWWL
points for 84.8points against 79.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Lobos PlateadosDorados
  • 1' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 2' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 3' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 3' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 3' Goal Dorados
  • 3' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 4' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 5' Goal Dorados
  • 5' Goal Dorados
  • 5' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 6' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 6' Goal Dorados
  • 7' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 7' Goal Dorados
  • 8' Goal Dorados
  • 8' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 8' Goal Dorados
  • 9' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 9' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 9' Goal Dorados
  • 9' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 10' Goal Dorados
  • 10' Goal Dorados
  • 11' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 12' Goal Dorados
  • 12' Goal Dorados
  • 13' Goal Dorados
  • 14' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 15' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 15' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 15' Goal Dorados
  • 15' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 16' Goal Dorados
  • 16' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 17' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 18' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 18' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 19' Goal Dorados
  • 19' Goal Dorados
  • 20' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 20' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 20' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 20' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 20' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 22' Goal Dorados
  • 22' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 22' Goal Dorados
  • 23' Goal Dorados
  • 24' Goal Dorados
  • 24' Goal Dorados
  • 25' Goal Dorados
  • 25' Goal Dorados
  • 25' Goal Dorados
  • 25' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 26' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 27' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 27' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 27' Goal Dorados
  • 28' Goal Dorados
  • 28' Goal Dorados
  • 29' Goal Dorados
  • 29' Goal Dorados
  • 29' Goal Dorados
  • 29' Goal Dorados
  • 30' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 30' Goal Dorados
  • 30' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 30' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 32' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 32' Goal Dorados
  • 33' Goal Dorados
  • 33' Goal Dorados
  • 33' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 34' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 35' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 35' Goal Dorados
  • 35' Goal Dorados
  • 38' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 39' Goal Lobos Plateados
  • 39' Goal Dorados

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 75.2% @ 1.22 / 2 24.8% @ 3.70
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Dorados 56%
💹 Market Dorados 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Lobos Plateados - Dorados

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 52:51
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 56.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.637 / LogLoss 0.831
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 52.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.553 / LogLoss 0.746
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lobos Plateados 44.2% 43.6%
Dorados 55.8% 56.4% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 43.6% / 56.4% probabilities
Rating 899 / 2,090 Lobos Plateados / Dorados
RD 268 / 205 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 364-1,435 / 1,679-2,501 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.70 Fonbet · weak value +108.8% · model 56.4%
1 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 43.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
1 0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 146.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Over 147.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —
1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0%
— — 1.48 67.6%
1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% —
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 146.5 — — 1.32 75.8%
Over 147.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 148.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 149.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 150.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 151.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 159.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% —
Over 160.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
Over 161.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 159.5 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% —
Under 160.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —
Under 161.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 1.22 82.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.12 47.2%
1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 3.70 27.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-3
2026-08-15 · Lobos Plateados 74:71 Dorados de Chikhuakhua
2024-10-17 · Lobos Plateados 76:101 Dorados de Chikhuakhua
2024-10-16 · Lobos Plateados 80:111 Dorados de Chikhuakhua
2024-07-13 · Lobos Plateados 93:104 Dorados de Chikhuakhua
2024-07-12 · Lobos Plateados 109:104 Dorados de Chikhuakhua
Source: ruscore
Lobos Plateados
L L L L W
2026-08-13 LNBP 2026, East
Lobos Plateados Panteras de Aguascalientes 73:69 Lobos Plateados
2026-08-12 LNBP 2026, East
Lobos Plateados Panteras de Aguascalientes 111:88 Lobos Plateados
2026-08-07 LNBP 2026, West
Lobos Plateados Lobos Plateados 73:80 Soles de Mexicali
2026-08-06 LNBP 2026, West
Lobos Plateados Lobos Plateados 64:86 Soles de Mexicali
2026-08-02 LNBP 2026, West
Lobos Plateados Astros Jalisco 71:79 Lobos Plateados
1 Wins
4 Losses
74.6 Scored
84.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Dorados
W W W W L
2026-08-12 LNBP 2026, East
Dorados 91:77 Gambusinos de Fresnillo Dorados
2026-08-11 LNBP 2026, East
Dorados 89:81 Gambusinos de Fresnillo Dorados
2026-08-07 LNBP 2026, East
Fuerza Regia 86:92 Dorados Dorados
2026-08-06 LNBP 2026, East
Fuerza Regia 67:96 Dorados Dorados
2026-08-02 LNBP 2026, East
Dorados 67:87 Diablos Rojos Dorados
4 Wins
1 Losses
87.0 Scored
79.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Lobos Plateados - Dorados

Lobos Plateados
3 matches total
Dorados
Lobos Plateados: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Dorados: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Dorados de Chihuahua 111:80 (2024-10-16) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 197 goals (93:104, 2024-07-13) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2024-10-17 LNBP 2026
Dorados de Chihuahua 101:76 Lobos Plateados de la Buap
2024-10-16 LNBP 2026
Dorados de Chihuahua 111:80 Lobos Plateados de la Buap
2024-07-13 LNBP 2026
Lobos Plateados de la Buap 93:104 Dorados de Chihuahua

Detailed match statistics Lobos Plateados – Dorados

51Ball possession49
21/7/28Free throws scored15/9/24
16/11/27Two pointers scored22/13/35
7/17/24Three pointers scored4/16/20
8Max Points in a Row14
5Timeouts6
32Rebounds25
44Successful Attempts41
25Fouls25
6Fouls current period5
12Biggest lead7
1687Time spent in lead555
4Lead changes3

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Recent form

Lobos Plateados WLLLLW
Dorados LWWWWL

Standings

# PWL+/-Pts
1Dorados de Chihuahua9726416
2Fuerza Regia963015
3Panteras de Aguascalientes9543214
4Correcaminos1129-7213
5Abejas de Leon945-113
6Santos de San Luis945-5913
7Freseros de Irapuato936-5612

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Team form & streaks

Lobos Plateados WLLLLW
Dorados LWWWWL

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

More predictions

Dorados – Abejas de Leon 20.08 Dorados – Abejas de Leon 21.08 Diablos Rojos – Lobos Plateados 21.08 Freseros – El Calor de Cancun 20.08 Fuerza Regia – Gambusinos 20.08 Freseros – El Calor de Cancun 21.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lobos Plateados vs Dorados?

By the PropickAI model, Lobos Plateados is favoured — about 56% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Lobos Plateados vs Dorados?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lobos Plateados. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Lobos Plateados vs Dorados start?

August 15, 2026.