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LNBP
LNBP International
07.08.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

LNBP

Lobos Plateados - Soles de Mexicali

International Basketball
Lobos Plateados
Lobos Plateados
44 : 70
Finished
Soles de Mexicali
Soles de Mexicali

Lobos Plateados face Soles de Mexicali on August 7, 2026 in the LNBP, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lobos Plateados 3-0-2, Soles de Mexicali 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Soles de Mexicali — 53%

1 · Lobos Plateados46.7%
2 · Soles de Mexicali53.3%

Model estimate: win Lobos Plateados 46.7%, win Soles de Mexicali 53.3%. Model favourite — Soles de Mexicali.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Soles de Mexicali (odds1.77) Score 79:81 Under 162.5 (odds2.03) ✓ Handicap H2 -1.5 (odds1.85) ✗ confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Lobos Plateados: forma PPVV (2)
  • • Soles de Meksikali: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Soles de Meksikali: probability 53% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 162.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 162.5 (odds 2.03)
  • • Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lobos Plateados - Soles de Mexicali August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Soles de Mexicali.

Line favourite Fonbet: Soles de Mexicali. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.94 / 2 1.77
  • Glicko: Lobos Plateados 46.7% / Soles de Mexicali 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 47.7%
2 52.3%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.94 → 1.94
Winner 2 1.77 → 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins2
91.0Points on average99.0

Head-to-head matches: 2 · average total 190.0 (points)

Team form

Lobos Plateados
3-7LLLLLWWLWL
points for 75.9points against 84.4
Soles de Mexicali
5-5WLWLWLLLWW
points for 82.2points against 80.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 47.7% @ 1.94 / 2 52.3% @ 1.77
Form 4 matches
Match center

Lobos Plateados - Soles de Mexicali

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 44:70
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 53.3% fact: away hit / ROI 77.0% / Brier 0.436 / LogLoss 0.629
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 51.3% fact: away hit / ROI 77.0% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.667
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lobos Plateados 47.7% 46.7%
Soles de Mexicali 52.3% 53.3% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 46.7% / 53.3% probabilities
Rating 1,787 / 1,959 Lobos Plateados / Soles de Mexicali
RD 225 / 290 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,336-2,238 / 1,379-2,538 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 Fonbet · no value · model 53.3%
1 1.94 Fonbet · no value · model 46.7%
Total
Over 136.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 137.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.45 69.0%
1.47 68.0%
1.52 65.8%
1.62 61.7%
1.72 58.1%
1.48 67.6%
1.45 69.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.58 63.3%
1.51 66.2%
1.45 69.0%
1.43 69.9%
1.53 65.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.52 65.8%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 136.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 137.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 138.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 139.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 140.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 141.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 142.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 143.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 144.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 145.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 146.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 147.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 148.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 149.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 150.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 151.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 152.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 153.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.94 51.6%
1.77 56.5%
Match center
Lobos Plateados
W L W W L
2026-08-02 LNBP 2026, West
Lobos Plateados Astros Jalisco 71:79 Lobos Plateados
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026, West
Lobos Plateados Astros Jalisco 73:64 Lobos Plateados
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, West
Lobos Plateados Lobos Plateados 80:63 El Calor de Cancun
2026-07-24 LNBP 2026, West
Lobos Plateados Lobos Plateados 96:93 El Calor de Cancun
2024-10-17 LNBP 2024, East
Lobos Plateados Dorados 101:76 Lobos Plateados
3 Wins
2 Losses
79.0 Scored
80.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Soles de Mexicali
W W L L L
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026, West
Soles de Mexicali 71:57 Gambusinos de Fresnillo Soles de Mexicali
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026, West
Soles de Mexicali 69:62 Gambusinos de Fresnillo Soles de Mexicali
2026-07-26 LNBP 2026, East
Fuerza Regia 95:89 Soles de Mexicali Soles de Mexicali
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, East
Fuerza Regia 94:91 Soles de Mexicali Soles de Mexicali
2025-10-18 LNBP 2025, Playoffs
Soles de Mexicali 75:82 Panteras de Aguascalientes Soles de Mexicali
2 Wins
3 Losses
79.0 Scored
78.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage