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LNBP
LNBP International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2026 02:05 UTC
Finished

LNBP

Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos de la UAT

International Basketball
Mineros de Zacatecas
Mineros de Zacatecas
75 : 61
Finished
Correcaminos de la UAT
Correcaminos de la UAT

Mineros de Zacatecas go head-to-head with Correcaminos de la UAT on August 7, 2026 in the LNBP, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0-4, Correcaminos de la UAT 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mineros de Zacatecas52%

1 · Mineros de Zacatecas51.7%
2 · Correcaminos de la UAT48.3%

Model estimate: win Mineros de Zacatecas 51.7%, win Correcaminos de la UAT 48.3%. Model favourite — Mineros de Zacatecas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mineros de Zacatecas (odds1.30) Score 81:79 Under 177.5 (odds2.03) Handicap H2 +7.5 (odds1.85) confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct
  • Korrekaminos-de-la-Uat: forma P (0-1)
  • Model backs Mineros de Zak: probability 52% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • no edge over the line (-25 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 177.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 177.5 (odds 2.03)
  • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos de la UAT August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mineros de Zacatecas.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mineros de Zacatecas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.21 / 2 3.90
  • Glicko: Mineros de Zacatecas 51.7% / Correcaminos de la UAT 48.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 76.3%
2 23.7%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.30 → 1.30
Winner 2 3.20 → 3.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Mineros de Zacatecas
#37 ptsGP 52-3
Correcaminos de la UAT
#28 ptsGP 71-6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

22Wins3
92.3Points on average79.4

Head-to-head matches: 25 · average total 171.8 (points)

Team form

Mineros de Zacatecas
4-6WLLWLLLWLW
points for 88.9points against 87.0
Correcaminos de la UAT
1-9LLLLLLLLWL
points for 83.1points against 92.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 02:05 UTC
Market 1 76.3% @ 1.21 / 2 23.7% @ 3.90
Form 1 matches
Match center

Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos de la UAT

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 75:61
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 51.7% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.466 / LogLoss 0.659
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 50.7% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.486 / LogLoss 0.679
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mineros de Zacatecas 71.1% 51.7% market and model agree
Correcaminos de la UAT 28.9% 48.3%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 51.7% / 48.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,161 Mineros de Zacatecas / Correcaminos de la UAT
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 579-1,743 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 Fonbet · weak value +88.2% · model 48.3%
1 1.21 Fonbet · no value · model 51.7%
Total
Over 168.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 169.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
2.10 47.6%
2.55 39.2%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.42 70.4%
2.40 41.7%
1.35 74.1%
1.37 73.0%
1.35 74.1%
2.45 40.8%
2.40 41.7%
2.20 45.5%
2.05 48.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 168.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 169.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 170.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 171.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 172.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 173.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 174.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 175.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 176.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 177.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 178.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 179.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 180.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 181.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 182.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 183.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 184.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 185.5 2.45 40.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.21 82.6%
3.90 25.6%
Match center
Mineros de Zacatecas
L W L L L
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026, East
Mineros de Zacatecas Freseros de Irapuato 92:89 Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026, East
Mineros de Zacatecas Freseros de Irapuato 93:105 Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, East
Mineros de Zacatecas Santos San Luis 95:80 Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-07-24 LNBP 2026, East
Mineros de Zacatecas Santos San Luis 87:86 Mineros de Zacatecas
2025-10-15 LNBP 2025, Playoffs
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 73:86 Fuerza Regia
1 Wins
4 Losses
86.6 Scored
90.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Correcaminos de la UAT
W L L L L
2026-08-02 LNBP 2026, East
Correcaminos de la UAT 93:58 Santos San Luis Correcaminos de la UAT
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026, East
Correcaminos de la UAT 78:91 Santos San Luis Correcaminos de la UAT
2026-07-29 LNBP 2026, East
Astros Jalisco 94:74 Correcaminos de la UAT Correcaminos de la UAT
2026-07-28 LNBP 2026, East
Astros Jalisco 93:86 Correcaminos de la UAT Correcaminos de la UAT
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, East
Abejas de Leon 101:89 Correcaminos de la UAT Correcaminos de la UAT
1 Wins
4 Losses
84.0 Scored
87.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage