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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
12.08.2026 02:30 UTC
Finished

Mexico. LNBP

Panteras de Aguascalientes - Lobos Plateados

Basketball
Panteras de Aguascalientes
Panteras de Aguascalientes
111 : 88
Finished
L
Lobos Plateados

Panteras de Aguascalientes meet Lobos Plateados on August 12, 2026 in the Mexico. LNBP.

Recent form (W-D-L): Panteras de Aguascalientes 2-0-3, Lobos Plateados 1-0-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 54% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Panteras de Aguascalientes54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Panteras de Aguascalientes): model 45% · market 55% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Panteras de Aguascalientes53.8%
2 · Lobos Plateados46.2%

Model estimate: win Panteras de Aguascalientes 53.8%, win Lobos Plateados 46.2%. Model favourite — Panteras de Aguascalientes.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Panteras de Aguascalientes (odds1.71) Score 81:79 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct
  • Panteras: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • Lobos Plateados: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • Model backs Panteras: probability 54% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.71)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Panteras de Aguascalientes - Lobos Plateados August 12, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Panteras de Aguascalientes.

Line favourite market consensus: Panteras de Aguascalientes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / 2 2.29
  • Glicko: Panteras de Aguascalientes 53.8% / Lobos Plateados 46.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 5 books · best price +1.2%
1 55.4%
2 44.7%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Panteras de Aguascalientes
56%
1.69
Lobos Plateados
44%
2.29
Total
Over 162.5
50%
1.90
Under 162.5
50%
1.89

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins0
103.5Points on average81.0

Head-to-head matches: 2 · average total 184.5 (points)

Team form

Panteras de Aguascalientes
5-5LWLWWLWLLW
points for 85.6points against 85.5
Lobos Plateados
3-7LLLLWWLWLL
points for 75.3points against 83.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 12.08.2026 02:30 UTC
Market 1 57.5% @ 1.69 / 2 42.5% @ 2.29
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Panteras de Aguascalientes 54%
💹 Market Panteras de Aguascalientes 55%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Panteras de Aguascalientes - Lobos Plateados

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 111:88
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Panteras de Aguascalientes 54.5% 53.8% market and model agree
Lobos Plateados 45.5% 46.2%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 53.8% / 46.2% probabilities
Rating 1,181 / 1,387 Panteras de Aguascalientes / Lobos Plateados
RD 205 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 771-1,591 / 981-1,794 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.12 market consensus · no value · model 46.2%
1 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 53.8%
Handicap
2 0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 160.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Over 161.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.81 55.3% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.74 57.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 160.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 161.5 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
Over 162.5 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3%
Over 163.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Over 164.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 166.5 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
Under 160.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 161.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
Under 162.5 1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9%
Under 163.5 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Under 166.5 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.62 61.7% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.55 64.5%
2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.29 43.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0
2024-08-01 · Panteras Aguaskalentes 120:80 Lobos Plateados
2024-07-31 · Panteras Aguaskalentes 87:82 Lobos Plateados
Source: ruscore
Panteras de Aguascalientes
L W
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026
Panteras de Aguascalientes Panteras de Aguascalientes 75:82 Fuerza Regia
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026
Panteras de Aguascalientes Panteras de Aguascalientes 90:85 Fuerza Regia
1 Wins
1 Losses
82.5 Scored
83.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Lobos Plateados
W L
2026-08-02 LNBP 2026
Astros Jalisco 71:79 Lobos Plateados de la Buap Lobos Plateados
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026
Astros Jalisco 73:64 Lobos Plateados de la Buap Lobos Plateados
1 Wins
1 Losses
71.5 Scored
72.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPanteras de Aguascalientes - Lobos Plateados

Panteras de Aguascalientes
2 matches total
Lobos Plateados
Panteras de Aguascalientes: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lobos Plateados: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Panteras de Aguascalientes 120:80 (2024-08-01) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 200 goals (120:80, 2024-08-01) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2024-08-01 LNBP 2026
Panteras de Aguascalientes 120:80 Lobos Plateados de la Buap
2024-07-31 LNBP 2026
Panteras de Aguascalientes 87:82 Lobos Plateados de la Buap