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LNBP
LNBP International
07.08.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

LNBP

Santos San Luis - El Calor de Cancun

International Basketball
Santos San Luis
Santos San Luis
62 : 68
Finished
El Calor de Cancun
El Calor de Cancun

Santos San Luis face El Calor de Cancun on August 7, 2026 in the LNBP, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Santos San Luis 3-0-2, El Calor de Cancun 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 57% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Santos San Luis — 57%

1 · Santos San Luis ✓ Pick57.2%
2 · El Calor de Cancun42.8%

Model estimate: win Santos San Luis 57.2%, win El Calor de Cancun 42.8%. Model favourite — Santos San Luis.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Santos San Luis (odds1.35) Score 81:79 Under 166.5 (odds2.03) ✗ Handicap H2 +6.5 (odds1.85) ✗ confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Santos San-Luis: forma V (1-0)
  • • El Kalor de Kankun: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Santos San-Luis: probability 57% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 166.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 166.5 (odds 2.03)
  • • Handicap F2 +6.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santos San Luis - El Calor de Cancun August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Santos San Luis.

Line favourite Fonbet: Santos San Luis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.57 / 2 2.25
  • Glicko: Santos San Luis 57.2% / El Calor de Cancun 42.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 58.9%
2 41.1%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.35 → 1.35
Winner 2 2.95 → 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins2
85.8Points on average80.8

Head-to-head matches: 4 · average total 166.5 (points)

Team form

Santos San Luis
6-4WWWLLLWWWL
points for 80.9points against 84.9
El Calor de Cancun
3-7WLLLWLLLWL
points for 75.5points against 81.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 58.9% @ 1.57 / 2 41.1% @ 2.25
Form 2 matches
Match center

Santos San Luis - El Calor de Cancun

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 62:68
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 57.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.654 / LogLoss 0.849
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.559 / LogLoss 0.752
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Santos San Luis 68.6% 57.2% market and model agree
El Calor de Cancun 31.4% 42.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 57.2% / 42.8% probabilities
Rating 1,839 / 1,657 Santos San Luis / El Calor de Cancun
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,257-2,422 / 1,075-2,239 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 42.8%
1 1.57 Fonbet · no value · model 57.2%
Total
Over 152.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 153.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.33 75.2%
2.80 35.7%
2.25 44.4%
2.45 40.8%
1.43 69.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.75 57.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.52 65.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 152.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 153.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 154.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 155.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 156.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 157.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 158.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 159.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 160.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 161.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 162.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 163.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 164.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 165.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 166.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 168.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 169.5 1.94 51.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.57 63.7%
2.25 44.4%
Match center
Santos San Luis
L W W W L
2026-08-02 LNBP 2026, East
Santos San Luis Correcaminos de la UAT 93:58 Santos San Luis
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026, East
Santos San Luis Correcaminos de la UAT 78:91 Santos San Luis
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, East
Santos San Luis Santos San Luis 95:80 Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-07-24 LNBP 2026, East
Santos San Luis Santos San Luis 87:86 Mineros de Zacatecas
2025-10-04 LNBP 2025, Playoffs
Santos San Luis Mineros de Zacatecas 109:86 Santos San Luis
3 Wins
2 Losses
83.4 Scored
89.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
El Calor de Cancun
L W L L L
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026, East
El Calor de Cancun 85:95 Abejas de Leon El Calor de Cancun
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026, East
El Calor de Cancun 80:76 Abejas de Leon El Calor de Cancun
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, West
Lobos Plateados 80:63 El Calor de Cancun El Calor de Cancun
2026-07-24 LNBP 2026, West
Lobos Plateados 96:93 El Calor de Cancun El Calor de Cancun
2025-10-07 LNBP 2025, Playoffs
El Calor de Cancun 65:71 Halcones de Xalapa El Calor de Cancun
1 Wins
4 Losses
77.2 Scored
83.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage